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"Bond on Banana"
2014
Mixed Media on Fruit, 9"x1½"

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From the neck down, its pretty good. Guess your eyes weren't focused on his eyes.-Henry

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87th Oscars. The Oscar Contenders of 2014 - For prediction, discussion and entertainment purposes only. This is not a endorsement of quality work, especially since no one has seen the pictures yet!

 discuss on the blog

Predictions as of July 15th
Amy Adams
5 nominations
Big Eyes
(Weinstein Co)
Dec 25th
Reese Witherspoon
1 nom | 1 win
Wild
(Fox Searchlight)
Dec 5th
Rosamund Pike
never nominated
Gone Girl
(Fox)
Oct 3rd
Marion Cotillard
1 nom | 1 win
MacBeth
(Weinstein Co)
TBA
Carey Mulligan
1 nom
Suffragette
(Distributor tba)
TBA

Why predicther?
She can do no wrong with Oscar voters. And Oscar voters also love artist biopics so...

But...
Tim Burton hasn't directed an Oscar role in a very long time. And honestly if Adams doesn't win in the next few years, she's just not going to win.

Why predict her?
If you're a big enough star you can coast for a long time and challenge yourself once and they want to see you back (see De Niro in Silver Linings...) plus Vallee is hot off of Dallas Buyers Club

But...
This kind of solo film will be a deadly bore if Reese doesn't really bring it

 

Why predict her?
People who've read the book uniformly say this is a great showcase role. And Pike deserves a big breakout.

But...
It's still a thriller which are tricky beasts for Oscar love

Why predict her?
She's been doing hugely acclaimed work regularly since her Oscar win. Time to have her back? Lady MacBeth is an awesome role and her other two films won't hurt

But...
Oscar isn't actually as impressed with Shakespearian acting as you'd think.

 

In her favor
She's been in constant demand since her first Oscar nomination for An Education. Will this political drama with a fiery righteous character be her ticket back?

But...
The juicy supporting cast might well steal the whole thing.

Second Tier. Also Could Happen

Meryl Streep
18 noms | 3 wins
Into the Woods
(Disney)
Dec 25th

Nicole Kidman
3 noms | 1 win
Queen of the Desert
(Distributor tba)
TBA  

Michelle Williams
3 nominations
Suite Française
(Weinstein Co)
TBA
Julianne Moore
4 nominations
Maps to the Stars
(tba)
TBA
Dame Maggie Smith
6 noms | 2 wins
My Old Lady
(Cohen Media Group)
Sept 10th

In her favor
Hello, it's Meryl. And it's Meryl singing! Plus The Witch is the marquee role even if...

But...
...in the strictest sense this has always been a true ensemble piece... so she won't have that much screen time. Also there's the sad possibility that this could be a total misfire of a movie. We shall see. 


 In her favor
Werner Herzog is a brilliant director and she excels with auteurs - he's already talking up how good she is. Oscar does loves a biopic and imagine the media hook if she recovers from Grace of Monaco so quickly by knocking one out of the park?

But...
Herzog is hardly Oscar bait and she's a divisive actress

In her favor
Oscar loves her and she's center stage in this wartime romance.  Good buzz on her work

But...
the film is no sure thing even at the arthouse. Will need strong reviews and there's still no word on a release date.

In her favor
Cannes win adds instant prestige to an outré role. And voters need a shock to remind them of her gifts after a decade 12 years away from Oscar

But...
Cannes winners rarely get very far with Oscar (think Huppert in The Piano Teacher or Kiki in Melancholia)

 

In her favor
She's getting on in years and more popular with the public than ever thanks to Harry Potter and Downton Abbey. As the lifelong resident of a Parisian apartment a broke American wants to sell she could deliver bitter comedy gold

But...
It's BBC films... distribution?
Other Contenders (So Much To Look Forward To!)
Jessica Chastain
2 nominations
Eleanor Rigby
(Weinstein Co)
TBA

Hilary Swank
2 noms | 2 wins
The Homesman
(Distributor)
TBA  

Helen Mirren
4 noms | 1 win
The Hundred Foot Journey
(Disney)
Aug 8th
Shailene Woodley
never nom'ed
Fault in Our Stars
(Fox)
June 6th 
Anna Kendrick
1 nomination
The Last Five Years
(Distributor tba)
TBA

 

In her favor
Her rapid rangey breakthrough a couple of years back left everyone wanting more. This romantic drama is special but will they go for it?

But...
I'm placing my bets on A Most Violent Year instead.

In her favor
It's been 10 years since her divisive 2nd win and this spinster/ long-suffering brave role looks right in their wheelhouse

But...
Cannes reviews weren't promising but mainstream AMPAS voters are a different audience. And they like Swank.

n her favor
Mirren is well loved and this icy restaurateur (who melts, naturally) role could be a nice change of pace. She won lots of traction for Hitchcock of all things so anything is possible

But...
Disney isn't great at getting Oscar nods and the film might be lightweight (*cough* Lasse Hallström)

In her favor
She's turned into a box office commodity with two hits this year and the voters aren't unfamiliar - she was clearly in the hunt for The Descendants. This movie is a tearjerker

But...
it's also easy to dismiss to some extent. And skews very young for Oscar voters

In her favor
She'd still have the element of surprise and youth if she slam dunks a good role soon. And this role, a struggling insecure actress with marital problems, IS good. GG Musical/Comedy nod?

But...
the rest of the team doesn't immediately instill confidence ...

Also Leading Movies This Year
...and you never know...

Charlize Theron - Dark Places | Emma Stone -Untitled Cameron Crowe project & Magic in Moonlight | Jessica Chastain Miss Julie | Kirsten Dunst, Two Faces of January (If it's unexpectedly a hit) | Angelina Jolie, Maleficent (Globes will probably find a way) |Jennifer Lawrence, Serena (If it ever gets released. Fool me once...) | Mia Wasikowska, Tracks | KateWinslet, A Little Chaos (if it comes out) | Shailene Woodley The Fault in Our Stars | Juliette Binoche & Kristen Stewart - Sils Maria (if it gets a US release)

2015 ?
Cate Blanchett - Carol Carey Mulligan - Far From Madding Crowd Mia Wasikowska - Madame Bovary

On the supporting chart but probably a lead - we may need to adjust
Felicity Jones - Theory of Everything