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Personal Ballot: Best Supporting Actress

"Must admit to not having seen "20th Century Women" yet. I'm already an Elle Fanning admirer. So I'm looking forward to seeing whether she or Greta Gerwig can shake up my list." - Ken

INTERVIEWS

Pablo Larraín (Jackie)
Jessica Chastain (Miss Sloane)
Gael García Bernal (Neruda)
Billy Crudup (20th Century Women)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Denis Villeneuve (Arrival

 

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89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

January 20th Predictions

 

Tier 1 - The Predicted 5
This race keeps shifting and remains gorgeously competitive. Any combination that includes Stone and Portman, and three from this group (Huppert, Adams, Negga, Streep, and Bening) you could theorize about in convincing ways.

Emma Stone
LA LA LAND
(1 nomination | 28 yrs old | 22 films)
Dec  2nd
First Impression

Prizes
Globe (Comedy)
Nominations
Critics Choice, BAFTA SAG

 Stone & Gosling wisely reteamed for a third time (after ably proving their chemistry twice prior) and, the third time is a home run. Great rapport, wonderful movie, surefire Oscar play for Stone.

More on Emma...

 

Amy Adams
ARRIVAL
(5 noms | 42 yrs old | 34 films)
Nov 11th 
Reviewed 

Prizes
NBR,

Nominations
Critics Choice,  SAG,  Globe,
 BAFTA

She's a linguist brought in to communicate with aliens in this rich sci-fi drama from Denis Villeneuve. She's great in it but six noms without a chance of a win seems crazy. Might they wait until she's the frontrunner?

More on Amy Adams...

 

Isabelle Huppert
ELLE
(never nom'ed | 63 yrs old | 100 films)
Nov 11th
Reviewed

Prizes
Gotham Winner, Globe (Drama), NY, LA, NSFC

Nominations
 Spirit, EFA, Critics Choice

SPC has made a wonderfully big enough deal about Huppert's legend and lack of previous Oscar love BONUS POINTS: Things to Come

More on Huppert...

Natalie Portman
JACKIE
(2 noms | 1 win | 35 yrs old | 37 films)
Dec 9th 
Reviewed

Prizes
Critics Choice Win

Nominations
GothamSpirit ,SAG
 GlobeBAFTA,

Pablo Larraín's fierce intimate raw portrait of Jackie Kenney in grief and crisis is expertly acted. But given the resistance to the movie, Natalie could actually be a surprise omission on nomination morning.

More on Natalie... 

 

Meryl Streep

FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINS
(19 noms | 3 wins | 67 yrs old | 53 films) 
Aug 12th 
Reviewed 

Prizes
Cecil B DeMille 

Nominations 
SAG,  GlobeBAFTA

It's always unwise to bet against Streep and the Globe Cecil B DeMille tribute made major headlines and endeared her (for the millionth time) to goodhearted people everywhere. But with so many rich possibilities this year she's not as locked up as she usually is

More on Streep...

 

 

Tier 2 - This is still a very tight race for the 5 nominations... one of the most competitive races in our lifetime of awards watching. 9 women are still highly competitive. But 5 ≠ 9. I will not be the least surprised to see Annette or Ruth oust either Meryl or someone more expected. Taraji or Jessica would be major surprises but at least Taraji still feels possible

Annette Bening
20TH CENTURY WOMEN
(4 noms | 58 yrs old | 29 films)
Dec 21st
Reviewish

Prizes
n/a

Nominations
GothamSpiritCritics Choice,  Globe

 She's absolutely sensational in a difficult role. The movie's late arrival seems to have killed her buzz but whether or not she's nominated this will go down as a major star turn in her impressive career.

More on The Bening...

Ruth Negga
LOVING
(never nom'ed | 35 yrs old | 12 films)

Nov 4th 
Reviewed

Prizes
n/a

Nominations
GothamSpiritCritics Choice,  GlobeBAFTA (Rising Star)

It's a quiet performance and she's the least famous of the main competitors. Can she hold her spot after such a good campaign and so much face time with cameras this year. Or will one of the movie stars oust her?

More on Ruth... 

Emily Blunt
GIRL ON THE TRAIN
(never nom'ed | 33 yrs old 27 films)
October 27th 

Prizes
tba 

Nominations
SAGBAFTA

After strange reviews ("great performance, lousy movie") she surprised with a SAG nomination. And now a BAFTA nomination reminds us that actors love it when actors ace alcoholic characters as she has here.

More on Emily

Taraji P Henson
HIDDEN FIGURES
(1 nomination | 46 yrs old | 28 films)
Dec 25th

Prizes
n/a

Nominations
n/a

Her star has risen significantly in the 8 years since her Benjamin Button nomination. The movie is great fun and inspirational. #1 in the nation during this week of voting which can't hurt!

More on Taraji

Jessica Chastain
MISS SLOANE
(2 noms | 39 yrs old | 21 films)
Dec 9th 

Prizes
n/a

Nominations
 Globe

 She's the title character, naturally, in this timely drama/political thriller about the gun lobby. She's memorable in the film with lots of "clips" for Oscar heat but this is a tough year to compete in.

More on Jessica...

 

Tier 3 - better luck next time to these talented women

Kate Beckinsale - Love & Friendship Gotham Nom
Rebecca Hall -
Christine
Sonia Braga
- Aquarius
Sally Field
- Hello My Name is Doris
Rachel Weisz
- Denial
Susan Sarandon
- The Meddler
Kate Winslet - The Dressmaker
Alicia Vikander - Light btwn Oceans
Amy Adams - Nocturnal Animals
Anya-Taylor Joy - The Witch Gotham Breakthrough, BAFTA Rising Star Nominee
Sasha Lane - American Honey Gotham Breakthrough Nom, Spirit Nom