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89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

APRIL FOOLISH PREDICTIONS

 

 

BEFORE THE PREDICTIONS - A REMINDER FOR THE CONSCIENTOUS VOTER
The conscientous movie lover, critic, or Academy member doesn't wait until the end of the year to draw up best lists. They consider their opptions early and often. The following are not endorsements per se just leading actresses who've already been talked about this year. See their films, draw your own conclusions. 
Krisha Fairchild
Krisha
(never nom'ed)
Sally Field
Hello My Name is Doris
(3 noms | 2 wins)
Susan Sarandon
The Meddler
(5 noms | 1win)
Anya Taylor-Joy
The Witch
(never nominated)
Mary Elizabeth Winstead
10 Cloverfield Lane
(never nom'ed)

 

 

Tier 1 - Predicted 5

Viola Davis
Fences
(2 noms)

The Academy owes her a statue and we're getting impatient. She won the Tony for this and there is a history of stars winning both statues for the same role.

Emily Blunt
Girl on the Train
(never nom'ed)

She's been building momentum for years and this could be the major howcase to do it (if the film is a big hit) 

Ruth Negga
Loving
(never nom'ed)

Early buzz is strong on this true story drama and Jeff Nichols is well positioned to breakthrough to more mainstream acclaim. Plus she's a highly watchable actress

Annette Bening
20th Century Women
(4 noms)

*WISHFUL THINKING?*

Mike Mills has a gift for iconoclastic family drama (see Beginners) and she's playing an unconventional woman teaching her son about the world in the 70s

Rosamund Pike
United Kingdom
(1 nomination)

Can Gone Girl's icy vixen nail something much warmer? She's playing a British woman who marries an African royal but their marriage causes international controversy

 

 

Tier 2 - Also Could Be Strong

Meryl Streep
Florence Foster Jenkins
(20 noms | 3 wins) 

It's always unwise to bet against Streep. But with so many rich possibilities this year could something featherweight factor in after opening in the summer?

Amy Adams
Story of Your Life
(5 noms)

She's a linguist brought in to communicate with aliens in this potentially rich sci-fi drama from Denis Villeneuve. But is it an actor's showcase in any way?

Jessica Chastain
The Zookeeper's Wife
(2 noms)

She's the title character, naturally, in this true story of a couple who saved the lives of many people and animals in a zoo during WW II. 

Sally Field
Hello My Name is Doris
(3 noms | 2 wins)

Moviegoers have welcomed her back with solid grosses for this tiny comedy. Will her presumed Globe nod at the end of the year remind people how delightful she is in it?

Emma Stone
La La Land
(1 nomination)

Stone & Gosling are wisely reteaming for a third time (after ably proving their chemistry twice prior) and, better yet, it's a musical. Can't wait.  

 

Tier 3 - Or Maybe...

Alicia Vikander
The Light Between Oceans
(1 nom | 1 win)

Was the Oscar enough for awhile or will Oscar want more Vikander immediately as dessert?

Charlize Theron
The Last Face
(2 noms | 1 win)

Sean Penn directed this drama about the director of an international aid organization (Charlize) and a doctor (Javier Bardem) 

Jennifer Lawrence
Passengers
(4 noms | 1 win)

Chris Pratt is lonely in space... until Jennifer Lawrence wakes up. Can two stars at peak charisma make this an automatic winner?

Michelle Pfeiffer
Beat-Up Little Seagull
(3 noms)

*WILD CARD*

The great star plays a fragile woman (dealing with a new relationship and a death in the family) for a promising director. Will the film get a tiny release or a big Pfeiffer Overdue awards push?

Marion Cotillard
Allied
(2 noms | 1 win)

She's the wife of Brad Pitt in this WW II drama. But is she also a Nazi spy? 

 

Tier 4 - Other Female Leads This Year

Isabelle Huppert - Things to Come/L'Avenir; Elle Fanning - How to Talk to Girls at Parties; Emma Thompson Alone in Berlin; Michelle Williams - Certain Women; Shirley Maclaine - Wild Oats ; Alicia Vikander - Tulip Fever; Felicity Jones -Rogue One; Rebecca Hall - Christine; Amy Adams - Nocturnal Animals