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Best Actress in Miniseries

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90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

JULY 29th PREDICTIONS

Tier 1 - Prediction

A nearly all previous winners list?  We shall see. There are a ton of meaty prospects in the mix at this early juncture with the festivals about to begin (which will surely damn some contenders while skyrocketing others toward the golden night)

Kate Winslet
41 yrs old | 37 films | 7 noms | 1 win
WONDER WHEEL
Dec 1st

 She plays the long suffering wife of a carousel operator in this drama set in Coney Island in the 1950s. Advance word on her performance is that it's major. Woody has directed many women to Oscar nods. (Bonus points if it's a hit: MOUNTAIN BETWEEN US)

Annette Bening
58 yrs old | 31 films | 4 nominations
FILM STARS DON'T DIE IN LIVERPOOL
tba

Momentum from that near-miss with 20th Century Women? We shall see. Plus she's playing an Oscar winner (which worked for Blanchett) and the buzz is intriguing.

Dame Judi Dench
82 yrs old | 47 films | 7 noms | 1 win
VICTORIA AND ABDUL
Sept 22nd

Reprising signature roles doesn't always lead to noms but it can: ask Blanchett, Weaver, Newman and Pacino. Oscar worships her.

Emma Thompson
58 yrs old | films | 4 noms | 1 win (in acting)
THE CHILDREN ACT
tba

 This could be a triumph - the role of a judge in personal and professional crisis is terrific -- if Richard Eyre delivers as a director. He does get actresses nominated (see Notes on Scandal & Iris). Will it be released in time?

Frances McDormand
59 yrs old | 37 films | 4 noms | 1 win
THREE BILLBOARDS
Oct 13th

The trailer alone got her fanbase riled up for "More McDormand! NOW!" The role seems tailor made for her. But will they like the biting dark comedy from Martin McDonagh?

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

 

Meryl Streep
67 yrs old | 54 films | 20 noms | 3 wins
THE PAPERS
Dec 22nd

 Spielberg fast-tracked this film about the Washington Post but will people be politicked out by year's end? Streep is always a threat even if Spielberg films are no slam dunks for acting nods

Sally Hawkins
40 yrs old | 24 films | 1 nomination
THE SHAPE OF WATER
Dec 8th

The lead role in a film about a mute woman (they love that!) who falls for an amphibious man. The movie looks fantastic but genre pieces are tough for the staid Academy. It'll have to win raves. Her success with MAUDIE might help, though.

Emma Stone
28 yrs old | 22 films | 2 noms | 1 win
BATTLE OF THE SEXES
Sept 22nd

Some feel the September release date means a lack of faith in the movie. But it's Stone playing a fun real life role (tennis great Billie Jean King). I would not count her out easily during her victory lap, especially if she's as good as the trailer suggests

Claire Foy
33 yrs old | 6 films | never nominated
BREATHE
Oct 13th

Lead or supporting? She plays the wife of a man paralyzed by polio. Foy is hot right now in Hollywood even if her Emmy buzz (for The Crown) is quieting so if the movie / performance is great... watch out.

Jennifer Lawrence
26 yrs old | 21 films | 4 noms | 1 win
MOTHER!
Oct 13th

There aren't many details on this psychothriller yet but it's Aronofsky (Black Swan) so it might be amazing. But what's her role like?

 
Tier 3 - We might be underestimating...

Glenn Close
70 yrs old | 40 films | 6 nominations
THE WIFE
tba

She plays a woman planning to leave her husband as he receives an award. This is from a Swedish director. Will it get a substantial enough release or be an indie blip?

Gal Gadot

32 yrs old | 12 films | never nominated
WONDER WOMAN

 If Warner Bros pushes hard you might seem some zeitgeist box-office fueled enthusiasm. A Globe nomination would be a major get and something they should aim for.

 

Jessica Chastain
40 yrs old | 23 films | 2 nominations
WOMAN WALKS AHEAD
tba

If the film about a woman painting Sitting Bull's portrait can dodge "white savior" complaints and deliver a resonant drama... She also has MOLLY'S GAME if this one doesn't pan out.

Penélope Cruz
43 yrs old | 57 films | 3 noms | 1 win
LOVING PABLO
tba

She gets a juicy role in this true story about a famous journalist and her drug lord lover. But foreign language performances need to really impress and have strong distrib backing to get momentum. 

Saoirse Ronan
23 yrs old | 18 films | 2 nominations
LADYBIRD
tba

If nominated she'll be the second actress to get 3 noms by 23 (the first was JLaw). Her role in CHESIL BEACH also looks promising but that doesn't have a firm release locked down yet.

 
Tier 4- Too early to rule anyone out!

Daniela Vega
unknown yrs old | 2 films | never nominated
A FANTASTIC WOMAN
tba 

This transgender actress has already won raves for this film from the director of the great woman's picture / character study Gloria. Will it be Chile's Oscar submission?

Rooney Mara
32 yrs old | 22 films | 2 nominations
MARY MAGDALENE 
Nov 24th

Garth Davis in his very short career has shown quite a gift with actors. But Biblical dramas can be tough sells and what will people make of this one - especially with Joaquin Phoenix as Jesus.

Halle Berry
50 yrs old | 33 films | 1 nom | 1 win
KINGS
tba

The film is about a foster family during the aftermath of the Rodney King trial. From the director of the great French Turkish film Mustang.

Lois Smith
86 yrs old | 48 films | never nominated
MARJORIE PRIME
tba

If nominated she'd be the oldest best actress nominee ever. She plays a woman interacting with a hologram of her dead husband

Brie Larson
27 yrs old | 26 films | 1 nom | 1 win
THE GLASS CASTLE
tba

The question is not just will it be good but since she has to share the role, will she have enough meat to the older version of the character's role? The trailer underwhelmed.

 
Tier 5 - More Female Leads
also...
  • 🔺 Diane Kruger -  IN THE FADE  (if the film gets a US distributor)
  • Margot Robbie - I, TONYA (if the film is released this year)
  • Debra Winger - THE LOVERS
  • 🔺 Jessica Chastain - MOLLY'S GAME
  • Sally Hawkins - MAUDIE
  • 🔺 Salma Hayek - BEATRIZ AT DINNER
  • Isabelle Huppert - HAPPY END (if the film is released this year in the US)
  • Nicole Kidman - THE BEGUILED
  • Helen Mirren - THE LEISURE SEEKER (sometimes referred to as ELLA & JOHN)
  • Carey Mulligan - WILD LIFE
  • Charlie Theron - ATOMIC BLONDE
  • Rachel Weisz - MY COUSIN RACHEL

MOVED TO 2018

  • Charlize Theron - TULLY