Welcome

The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R. Gemini, Cinephile, Actressexual. All material herein is written and copyrighted by Nathaniel or a member of our team as noted.

Powered by Squarespace
Comment Fun

JANE is the doc frontrunner

"Can we hav a tie w both Jane and Faces Places?" - Claran

"Jane was wonderful. Goodall's such a compelling presence that the talking heads even give off a freshness that that format has lacked in recent documentaries." - John T

What'cha Looking For?
Interviews

new Claes Bang Actor
(Sweden's Oscar Submission)
Nikolaj Lie Kaas Actor
(Denmark's Oscar Submission)
Hana Jusic Director
(Croatia's Oscar Submission)

Keep TFE Strong

We're looking for 500 Patron Saints!

IF YOU READ THE SITE DAILY, PLEASE BE ONE BY DONATING. 
Your suscription dimes make an enormous difference to The Film Experience in terms of stability and budget to dream bigger. Consider...

I ♥ The Film Experience

THANKS IN ADVANCE

Subscribe

 Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress |  Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation 

90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

November 30th Predictions

Tier 1 - Prediction

McDormand, Robbie, Streep, and Hawkins are all looking formidable given either their films, performances, reputations, or the place they're at in their careers. The fifth spot, at least to these eyes, looks likely a wildly competitive situation. I'm giving Dench the slight edge at this point due to her iconic status and role reprisal and the movie's popularity with older audiences but really anything goes and the precursors might tell a different story.

Frances McDormand
60 yrs old | 37 films | 4 noms | 1 win
THREE BILLBOARDS
Oct 13th

Spirit Nom | BIFA Nom | Critics Choice Nom SAG Nom | Globe Nom

REVIEWED 

This biting dark comedy from Martin McDonagh was all the rage at TIFF and the enthusiasm could well transfer to Oscar voters. Everyone loves the acting by McDormand and Sam Rockwell in support.

Margot Robbie
27 yrs old | 13 films | never nominated
I, TONYA
Qualifying Only

Gotham Nom | Spirit Nom  | Critics Choice Nom SAG Nom | Globe Nom

REVIEWED

 The film made waves during festival month and is a crowd pleaser. Golden Globe comedy feels like a given for nominations but Oscar will be tougher. Still, if they need a first time nominee, she's probably the one.

Meryl Streep
68 yrs old | 54 films | 20 noms | 3 wins
THE POST
Dec 22nd

NBR Winner  | Critics Choice Nom |  | Critics Choice Nom (also comedy) | Globe Nom

 

With some actresses the character's often passive personality might doom her chances. Not so with Streep who needs no extra help from a role to be nominated.

Saoirse Ronan
23 yrs old | 18 films | 2 noms
LADY BIRD
Nov 3rd

Gotham Win | NYFCC WinSpirit Nom  | Critics Choice Nom |  | Critics Choice Nom (also comedy) SAG Nom | Globe Nom

REVIEWED

If nominated she'll be the second actress to get 3 noms by 23 (the first was JLaw). She's wonderful in the film but Oscar can be fussy about stories about adolescents and stories about women and this is both.

Sally Hawkins 

41 yrs old | 24 films | 1 nomination
THE SHAPE OF WATER
Dec 1st

LAFCA Win  | Critics Choice Nom SAG Nom | Globe Nom

Oscar loves a mute character and she's utterly endearing (no surprise) in the film. Genre pieces can be tough sells for the staid Academy but everyone is falling for this beauty & beast style romantic fable. Her success earlier this year with Maudie will help.

 
Tier 2 - Also totally conceivable as nominees

Dame Judi Dench

82 yrs old | 47 films | 7 noms | 1 win
VICTORIA AND ABDUL
Sept 22nd

SAG Nom | Globe Nom

Reprising signature roles doesn't always lead to noms but it can: ask Blanchett, Weaver, Newman and Pacino. Oscar worships her. With both Dench and Streep in the mix as AMPAS default choices though this is less of a slam dunk than it might have been.

Annette Bening
59 yrs old | 31 films | 4 nominations
FILM STARS DON'T DIE IN LIVERPOOL
Dec 29th

 That near-miss with 20th Century Women still stings.  She's playing an Oscar winner (which worked for Blanchett) and older voters might especially love thinking about Gloria Grahame's former glory and fall from stardom

Kate Winslet
41 yrs old | 37 films | 7 noms | 1 win
WONDER WHEEL
Dec 1st

 She's gone for the jugular with this big gestured, theatrical movie star turn and those who love such things will eat her up. Others might find the movie too theatrical (we hate when people see that as a pejorative but some do!)

 

 

Emma Stone
28 yrs old | 22 films | 2 noms | 1 win

BATTLE OF THE SEXES 
Sept 22nd

 Critics Choice Nom (Comedy Only) | Globe Nom

 Stone won very warm reviews for this fun role (tennis great Billie Jean King) but the film underperformed which could spell trouble. It's a pity though since she's even better here than she was in La La Land which she won for.

Jessica Chastain
40 yrs old | 23 films | 2 nominations
MOLLY'S GAME
Dec 25th

Critics Choice Nom | Globe Nom

 In some ways this is more of a commercial play but you never know. Miss Sloane part two for badass Jess lovers. But this year is just so competitive. Can she find a way in? It helps that she totally carries a big film with ease.

 
Tier 3 - Longer Shots

Daniela Vega
unknown yrs old | 2 films | never nominated
A FANTASTIC WOMAN
Qualifying Only

This transgender actress has already won raves for this film from the director of the great woman's picture / character study Gloria. In a weaker Best Actress year one could see this happening

 Diane Kruger
41 yrs old | 34 films | never nominated
IN THE FADE
Qualifying Only

She won Best Actress at Cannes for this and she's an international star. She works her wonders on the red carpet, too, but for this too happen critics awards are entirely necesssary. Can she get them?

Michelle Williams
37 yrs old | 37 films | 4 noms
ALL THE MONEY IN THE WORLD
Dec 22nd

| Globe Nom

 Much will depend on whether the film has power in other categories (given how tight this field is) but you can usually count on her to deliver dramatic punch, Could be the last minute surprise

Gal Gadot
32 yrs old | 12 films | never nominated
WONDER WOMAN
June 2

REVIEWED

Warner Bros is pushing for the movie and you might seem some zeitgeist box-office fueled enthusiasm. A Globe nomination would be a major get and something they should aim for.

 

Salma Hayek
51 yrs old | 44 films | 1 nomination
BEATRIZ AT DINNER
June 9th

An early bird possibility. The film was an arthouse success and Hayek is a well liked very famous actor. Critics would have to rally, though, and a  Golden Globe nod is an absolute must to put some wind in this sail.

 

Outside Chart

  • Vicky Krieps - PHANTOM THREAD
  • Brooklynn Prince - FLORIDA PROJECT Gotham Nomination
  • Florence Pugh - LADY MACBETH BIFA Nomination
  • Jennifer Lawrence - MOTHER!
  • Sally Hawkins - MAUDIE
  • Helen Mirren - THE LEISURE SEEKERS | Globe Nom