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90th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2017 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

Tier 1 - Prediction

An all previous nominee year? That's what this very early crystal ball shows but how accurate will it be in 10 months?

Annette Bening
58 yrs old | 31 films | 4 nominations
FILM STARS DON'T DIE IN LIVERPOOL
tba

Momentum from that near-miss with 20th Century Women? We shall see. Plus she's playing an Oscar winner. It worked for Blanchett.

Frances McDormand
59 yrs old | 37 films | 4 noms | 1 win
THREE BILLBOARDS
Oct 13th

The trailer alone got her fanbase riled up for "More McDormand! NOW!" The role seems tailor made for her. But will they like the biting dark comedy?

Brie Larson
27 yrs old | 26 films | 1 nom | 1 win
THE GLASS CASTLE
tba

The question is not just will it be good but since she has to share the role, will she have enough meat to the older version of the character's role?

Dame Judi Dench
82 yrs old | 47 films | 7 noms | 1 win
VICTORIA AND ABDUL
Sept 22nd

Reprising signature roles doesn't always lead to noms but it can: ask Blanchett, Weaver, Newman and Pacino. Oscar worships her.

Saoirse Ronan
23 yrs old | 18 films | 2 nominations
ON CHESIL BEACH
tba

If nominated she'll be the second actress to get 3 noms by 23 (the first was JLaw). She plays a newlywed having a traumatic honeymoon

 
Tier 2 - Or Maybe It'll Be

Emma Stone
28 yrs old | 22 films | 2 noms | 1 win
BATTLE OF THE SEXES
Sept 22nd

Some feel the release date means a lack of faith in the movie. But it's Stone playing a fun real life role (tennis great Billie Jean King). I would not count her out easily during her victory lap.

Claire Foy
33 yrs old | 6 films | never nominated
BREATHE
Oct 13th

Lead or supporting? She plays the wife of a man paralyzed by polio. Foy is hot right now in Hollywood so if the movie / performance is great... watch out.

Sally Hawkins
40 yrs old | 24 films | 1 nomination
THE SHAPE OF WATER
Dec 8th

The lead role in a film about a woman who falls for an aquatic man. The movie sounds delicious (thus far) and she's always great but genre pieces are tough for the Academy

Rooney Mara
32 yrs old | 22 films | 2 nominations
MARY MAGDALENE
Nov 24th

Garth Davis in his very short career has shown quite a gift with actors. But Biblical dramas can be tough sells.

Jessica Chastain
40 yrs old | 23 films | 2 nominations
WOMAN WALKS AHEAD
tba

If the film about a woman painting Sitting Bull's portrait can dodge "white savior" complaints and deliver a resonant Native rights drama...

 
Tier 3 - We might be underestimating...

Meryl Streep
67 yrs old | 54 films | 20 noms | 3 wins
THE POST
tba

If the film is completed and released in time she's a likely nominee. They always vote for her.

Daniela Vega
unknown yrs old | 2 films | never nominated
A FANTASTIC WOMAN
tba 

This transgender actress has already won raves for this film from the director of the great woman's picture / character study Gloria. Will it be Chile's Oscar submission?

Glenn Close
70 yrs old | 40 films | 6 nominations
THE WIFE
tba

She plays a woman planning to leave her husband as he receives an award. This is from a Swedish director. Will it get a substantial enough release?

Kate Winslet
41 yrs old | 37 films | 7 noms | 1 win
WONDER WHEEL
tba

The plot is unknown at this time but it's set in Coney Island in the 50s. Woody has directed many women to Oscar nods

Debra Winger
61 yrs old | 27 films | 3 nominations
THE LOVERS
May 5th

A romcom about a long married couple cheating on each other and falling back in love. It'd be wonderful if she had a comeback hit!

 
Tier 4- Too early to rule anyone out!

Jennifer Lawrence
26 yrs old | 21 films | 4 noms | 1 win
MOTHER!
Oct 13th

There aren't many details on this psychothriller yet but it's Aronofsky (Black Swan) so it might be amazing. But what's her role like?

Charlize Theron
41 yrs old | 40 films | 2 noms | 1 win
TULLY
tba

Oscar rarely responds to comedies but you never know. She did awesome work the last time she collaborated with Jason Reitman (Young Adult)

Halle Berry
50 yrs old | 33 films | 1 nom | 1 win
KINGS
tba

The film is about a foster family during the aftermath of the Rodney King trial. From the director of the great French Turkish film Mustang.

Kate Winslet
41 yrs old | 37 films | 7 noms | 1 win
THE MOUNTAIN BETWEEN US
Oct 20th

Mainstream romantic dramas are generally tough sells with the Academy unless they hit big with...uh... the mainstream. Will Elba & Winslet have great chemistry?

Lois Smith
86 yrs old | 48 films | never nominated
MARJORIE PRIME
tba

If nominated she'd be the oldest best actress nominee ever. She plays a woman interacting with a hologram of her dead husband

 
Tier 5 - More Female Leads
  • Jessica Chastain - MOLLY'S GAME / ZOOKEEPER'S WIFE
  • Sally Hawkins - MAUDIE
  • Salma Hayek - BEATRIZ AT DINNER
  • Isabelle Huppert - HAPPY END
  • Nicole Kidman - THE BEGUILED
  • Helen Mirren - THE LEISURE SEEKER
  • Carey Mulligan - WILD LIFE
  • Michelle Pfeiffer - WHERE IS KYRA?
  • Emmanuel Seigner - BASED ON A TRUE STORY
  • Charlie Theron - ATOMIC BLONDE
  • Rachel Weisz - MY COUSIN RACHEL