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The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R

Gemini, cinephile, actressexual. Also loves cats. He lives and works as a writer in NYC. All material herein is written and copyrighted by him, unless otherwise noted.

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84th Oscars. Predictions for Films of 2011
OFFICIAL NOMINATIONS

January 21st ~ Final Predictions
Rankings (in typical reading order) are for entertainment, speculative and discussion purposes only and ought not to perceived as meritocracy. 

THE NOMINEES ARE...

GLENN CLOSE
64 yrs old
6 nominations
"Albert Nobbs"
a waiter

Albert Nobbs

prizes:
not yet

 

 
VIOLA DAVIS
46 yrs old
2 nominations
"Aibeleen Clark"
a maid

The Help

prizes:
BFCA and critics prizes

 

 
 
ROONEY MARA
26 years old
1st nomination!
"Lisbeth Salander" a troubled hacker
The Girl With

the Dragon Tattoo

prizes:
NBR (breakthrough)
and one critics prize

 



 

MERYL STREEP
62 yrs old
17 noms | 2 wins

"Margaret Thatcher"
the politician
The Iron Lady

prizes: 
NYFCC
 Golden Globe and critics prizes

MICHELLE WILLIAMS
31 yrs old
3 nominations

"Marilyn Monroe"
the movie star
My Week With Marilyn

prizes:
Golden Globe, the majority of critics prizes

 
How'd She Get Nominated?
tba tba tba tba tba
Who Got Snubbed?
Rooney Mara's surging with a slow burn hit and a beloved character (Dragon Tattoo didn't open superbly but grew legs) cost Tilda Swinton. Tilda had won the NBR and the OFCS and a few other critics prizes as well as all of the major precursor nominations. Still, We Need To Talk About Kevin was always going to be a hard sell with Oscar. She came as far as she did partially on the momentum of three years of great work post-Oscar win. Kirsten Dunst, another worthy contender, never won post Cannes traction. Nathaniel's Personal Ballot.
Who is Likely to Win?
It's shaping up to be a battle between Meryl Streep (Globe winner and long overdue for a third Oscar) and Viola Davis (just hitting her stride which is a wonderful time to reward people). Meryl seems more likely at this point given the somewhat muted showing of The Help in the nominations... but then again, don't Michelle and Glenn pull "due" votes away from Meryl rather than Viola?
 

 

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