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Visual Effects Oscar Semi-Finals 

"All I know is that if I had worked on A Monster Calls, I'd be pretty pissed that I didn't get in but Sully did." -The Jack

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Maria Schrader (Stefan Zweig...)
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89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

December 4th Predictions

 

Tier 1 - The Predicted 5
At this point it looks like a tight war: Natalie vs Emma vs Annette. But the battle for the fourth and fifth spots remains a competition. Ruth and Isabelle have the heat but they can maintain it for the next month?

Emma Stone
LA LA LAND
(1 nomination)
Dec  2nd
First Impression

Prizes
Critics Choice Nom

 Stone & Gosling wisely reteamed for a third time (after ably proving their chemistry twice prior) and, the third time is a home run. Great rapport, wonderful movie, surefire Oscar play for Stone.

More on Emma...

Natalie Portman
JACKIE
(2 nominations | 1 win)
Dec 9th 
Reviewed

Prizes
Gotham Nom, Spirit Nom, Critics Choice Nom

Sometimes quality is the thing. Pablo Larraín's fierce intimate raw portrait of Jackie Kenney in grief and crisis is expertly acted. Slam dunk nomination. But can Portman win again?

More on Natalie...

Annette Bening
20TH CENTURY WOMEN
(4 noms)
Dec 21st
Reviewish

Prizes
Gotham Nom, Spirit Nom, Critics Choice Nom

Mike Mills has a gift for iconoclastic family drama (see Beginners) and she's playing an unconventional woman teaching her son about the world in the 70s. Dec 21st feels really late for this but she's just spectacular in it. Perhaps her best performance ever.

More on The Bening...

 

Isabelle Huppert
ELLE
(never nom'ed)
Nov 11th
Reviewed

Prizes
Gotham Winner, Spirit Nom, EFA Nomination, Critics Choice Nom, NYFCC Winner, LAFCA Winner

SPC has made a wonderfully big enough deal about Huppert's international legend and her lack of Oscar love

BONUS POINTS: Things to Come

More on Huppert...

Ruth Negga
LOVING
(never nom'ed)
Nov 4th 
Reviewed

Prizes
Gotham Nom, Spirit Nom, Critics Choice Nom

Reviews are strong, especially for Negga's lovely work. But it's a quiet performance and she's the least famous of the main competitors. Can she hold her spot when Amy & Meryl are so Oscar beloved?

More on Ruth...

 

 

Tier 2 - Could do it. But then who falls?

Amy Adams
ARRIVAL
(5 noms)
Nov 11th 
Reviewed 

Prizes
NBR Winner, Critics Choice Nom

She's a linguist brought in to communicate with aliens in this rich sci-fi drama from Denis Villeneuve. She's great in it and the film is a hit which could make her irresistible to them. Bonus Points (for some): Nocturnal Animals

More on Amy Adams...

 

Meryl Streep
FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINS
(19 noms | 3 wins) 
Aug 12th 
Reviewed 

Prizes
Cecil B DeMille 

 It's always unwise to bet against Streep and the Globe Cecil B DeMille tribute will bring lots of attention again. But with so many rich possibilities this year could something featherweight factor in after opening in the summer?

More on Streep...

Jessica Chastain
MISS SLOANE
(2 noms)
Dec 9th 

Prizes
tba 

 She's the title character, naturally, in this timely drama/political thriller about the gun lobby. She's memorable in the film with lots of "clips" for Oscar heat but this is a tough year to compete in.

More on Jessica...

Taraji P Henson
HIDDEN FIGURES
(1 nomination)
Qualifying Run

Prizes
tba 

Her star has risen significantly in the 8 years since her Benjamin Button nomination. Could she surprise as this mathematician? (It looks more like a commercial player to us but we'll see)

More on Taraji

Kate Beckinsale
LOVE & FRIENDSHIP
(never nom'ed)
June 3rd 
REVIEWED

Prizes
Gotham Nomination

 This charming comedy didn't get the push that it deserved but Globe attention could still resurrect it.

More on Kate...

 

Tier 3 - Long Shots

 

Sonia Braga
AQUARIUS
(never nominated)
Oct 14th 
Reviewed

They won't remember how badly they stiffed her for Kiss of the Spider-Woman 30 years back but everyone thinks she's great in this drama.

More on Sonia...

 

Sally Field
HELLO MY NAME IS DORIS
(3 noms | 2 wins)
April 1st 
Reviewed

She made a hit out of this tiny comedy. Will her presumed Globe nod at the end of the year remind people how delightful she is in it?

More on Sally

Rebecca Hall - Christine
Rachel Weisz
- Denial
Emily Blunt
- Girl on the Train
Jennifer Lawrence
- Passengers
Susan Sarandon
- The Meddler
Kate Winslet - The Dressmaker
Alicia Vikander - Light btwn Oceans
Amy Adams - Nocturnal Animals
Anya-Taylor Joy - The Witch Gotham Breakthrough Winner
Sasha Lane - American Honey Gotham Breakthrough, Spirit Nom