Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress | Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation
89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only
DAMIEN CHAZELLE WON THE PRIZE
The Nominees Were...
Damien Chazelle Prizes
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Mel Gibson
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Barry Jenkins Prizes
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Kenneth Lonergan
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Denis Villeneuve
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HOW'D THEY GET NOMINATED? |
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23% The new golden boy auteur 22% Exuberance behind the camera + degree of difficulty 15% Whiplash momentum 14% L.A. and industry pride. Movie magic is born here 11% Love of musicals 10% Box office - lots of pop culture hooks like "City of Stars" and "My Aunt used to live in Paris" + Emma & Ryan ♥︎ 6% Critics & prizes |
40% Media's 'Comeback' narrative took - We forgive you. I mean, way grosser people are suddenly running everything who are not just mouthy |
45% Ecstatic critical response, precursors 20% That amazing ensemble + unexpected beauty of the craft work 11% diversity push 10% Degree of difficulty - directing children and something this intimate that feels big aint easy 8% Fresh voice behind the camera 4% LGBT vote 2% Solid box office for a difficult sell |
41% Ecstatic critical response, precursor support 30% Touching universal topic: death and grief 19% actors & screenplay 5% Margaret and You Can Count On Me and Lonergan's rep 4% Strong box office for total downer 1% "basement stuff" inspired touches of comedy make it bearable |
33% Much needed message of empathy and communication 20% Amy Adams 15% Degree of difficulty. 10% Sicario, Prisoners, Incendies momentum 9% Box office and word of mouth lingering effect 8% Something for everyone: ideas, sentiment, acting, craft, genre riffing 5% AMPAS warming up to sci-fi past 10 years |
WHO WILL WIN? |
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Damien Chazelle has the edge with the most nominated film and if he wins he'll be the youngest Best Director winner of all time. (He's only 32). | ||||
WHO WAS LEFT OUT? |
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The Directors Guild honored Garth Davis (Lion) who had a good shot here. My personal ballot included Park Chan-Wook (The Handmaiden) and Pablo Larraín (Jackie). Others thought Martin Scorsese (Silence) might rally at the last minute. | ||||