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THE OSCARS ARE NEW BEHIND US

WINNER Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
This is the 46 year old superstar's first nomination and win. TRIVIA: Interestingly enough, she's played two Oscar nominated roles previously in her career. The Oscar nominations just went to different actresses is all. She played the part of Tess McGill in the TV version of Working Girl (1990), based on the film that won Melanie Griffith her only nomination. Later she played the role of novelist Harper Lee in Infamous, the role that had won Catherine Keener a nomination when she played it in Capote.

READER'S CHOICE POLL: Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
NATHANIEL'S VOTE: Gabby Sidibe, Precious (though I'm really rooting for Meryl Streep on account of... well, 28 years without a win for America's Great Actress? Come on! I like all 5 of these performances, but only Carey & Gabby made my shortlist

Sandra Bullock
"Leigh Ann Touhey"
THE BLIND SIDE
45 years old
36 films
1st nom & 1st win
Helen Mirren
"Countess Tolstoy"
THE LAST STATION
64 years old
49 films
4 noms / 1 win
Carey Mulligan
"Jenny"
AN EDUCATION
24 years old
6 films
1st nomination!
Gabourey Siddibe
"Claireece 'Precious' Jones"
PRECIOUS
26 years old
1st film

1st nomination!
Meryl Streep
"Julia Child"
JULIE & JULIA
60 years old
43 films
16 noms / 2 wins

Other Awards Globe, BFCA, SAG
Release
Nov 20th
Box Office
$249
Role
Real Person Alert! Leigh Anne Touhy, interior designer, Republican, adoptive parent

More On...
Sandra | Blind Side

Other Awards none
Release
Dec 4th | Jan 15
Box Office
$3
Role
Real Person Alert! Countess Sofya Tolstoy, devoted wife and peerless drama queen

More On...
Mirren| Last Station

Other Awards BAFTA, NBR, BIFCA and 8 minor critics
Release Oct 16th
Box Office
$11
Role
Jenny, a precocious schoolgirl in 60s London. 'not a girl not yet a woman'

More On...
Carey | An Education

Other Awards NAACP, Spirit, Detroit and some additional 'break-through' prizes
Release
Nov 16th
Box Office
$47
Role
Claireece, a pregnant illiterate abused teenager in 80s Harlem

More On...
Gabby | Precious

 

Other Awards Globe, BFCA, NY and 5 minor critics awards
Release
Aug 7th
Box Office
$94
Role
Real Person Alert! Julia Child, American icon, famous chef

More On...
Streep | Julie & Julia

How'd They Get Nominated?
36% Media frenzy: historic box office, pre-cursor craziness, BP nod
23%
Performance: well judged. Knew when to pull back and when to star shine
17% the novelty of it all -"Sandra Bullock, Oscar Nominee!"
9% The Proposal and past hits
8%
Role: real person!
6% That 'Saturday Special' Sass
1% conservatives rally

31% Performance: Oscar likes big scenery chewing turns
29%
Role: They love biographical parts
19%
Precursors ignored powerful work and raised up only a lesser royal (Blunt) and a teen (Ronan) for 5th spot. Piece of cake to trounce them since
15%
...she's Helen Mirren
4% randy bedroom antics
2% Oscar's anglophilia

60% Performance. Super charming whilst playing a potentially offputting know-it-all
20%
Role: interesting and multifaceted
12%
Timing: Marked as major contender early
10%
"star is born" mythology is potent hook -- especially if it has the ring of truth rather than hype
2% Young 'n' Hot. The way Oscar likes 'em
1% That smile in the rain
37% Performance. Revelatory and moving. A film carrying debut.
32%
Role: Demanding and sympathetic.
11%
Campaign trail discovery. 'Wow. She's SO not playing herself'
10%
Well received film and BP strength
5%
AMPAS now sensitive to diversity
3% Oscar's love of student / teacher dramas
2% Mo'Nique
30% Role: They love them some biopics... especially w/ familiar characters and mimicry
24%
Performance. Bubbly, buttery, deliciously enjoyable 21% She's Meryl Streep
11% Momentum for third win still building
8% Consistent box-office muscle
5%
Precursors and surprising critical wins
3% Stanley Tucci's palpable adoration
Will Win / Should Win
Sandra Bullock in The Blind Side is looking like the one. Unless the Academy can break the media's influential brainwashing stranglehold and remember that Meryl Streep hasn't won in nearly three decades and that is just stoopid. If you're actually voting on single performances only, I'd give the prize to Gabby Sidibe with Carey Mulligan an extremely close second. Maybe on a different day I'd reverse them. But I'm sick of waiting for Streep to win again and she's been awesome since the 70s and still is. It's time for #3.
Who Got Robbed?
The Precursors will tell you that Emily Blunt (The Young Victoria) or Saoirse Ronan (The Lovely Bones) were next in line for Mirren's spot. And they're both fine actresses but the people who have every right to be pissed about getting passed over were Abbie Cornish (Bright Star) and the phenomenal Tilda Swinton (Julia) who gave one of the best performances of the entire decade. She should have easily won a second Oscar this time round.