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 Gemini, Cinephile, Actressexual. Also loves cats. All material herein is written and copyrighted by him, unless otherwise noted. twitter | facebook | pinterest | tumblr | letterboxd

 

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"Reitman is near insufferable when he's in his pretentious 'voice of a generation, telling it like it is" mode, which previously brought us Thank You For Smoking and Up in the Air. I much prefer him as a Diablo Cody-delivery system. " - Roark

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Charts are for entertainment and speculation purposes only. Read and discuss 

scroll down for adapted. 

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Discuss 

will win: American Hustle
could win: Her (and it's actually the frontrunner so we're risking it with Hustle)
should win: I'm torn, honestly. I love four of the five as screenplays 

NEBRASKA
Bob Nelson
FIRST NOMINATION!

wins: 1 critics group
noms: GlobesBFCASpirit (first screenplay), WGA 

  HER
Spike Jonze 
FIRST NOMINATION! (FOR WRITING)

wins: many critics groups
noms: GlobeBFCAWGA 

AMERICAN HUSTLE
Eric Singer
FIRST NOMINATION!
David O. Russell 
2nd nom (for writing) 

wins: a couple of critics groups
noms: GlobeBFCAWGA 

BLUE JASMINE
Woody Allen
16th nom for writing (3 previous screenplay wins)

wins: --
noms: BFCA, Spirit, WGA 

DALLAS BUYERS CLUB
Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack
FIRST NOMINATIONS! 

wins: --
noms: WGA

Payne normally writes his films so this is a switch. But Nelson seems like a formidable contender.


A lonely man and his operating system ... even if the film didn't have Best Picture traction it would compete here

David O. Russell movies often feel like writer's movies. But this one feels more like an actors film. Safe or on the line for a surprise omission?
Woody is always a threat if
 people like the film. And people like the film. But there's always the case of Vicky Cristina Barcelona to consider which was not nominated.
The AIDS drama shows unexpected support early in the season and never let up, even winning an editing nod. 
In the Dread Sixth Spot? That was probably The Coen Bros' Inside Llewyn Davis though sadly, given its quality I doubt Enough Said was anywhere near since the nominations in all categories were the most heavily best picture oriented they've ever been. So it's possible Gravity was in 6th, as crazy as that sounds. Weird that Frances Ha, All is Lost, Saving Mr Banks, Prisoners, Mud, and more couldn't make a dent in pre-season
 

 

 

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

will win: 12 Years a Slave
could upset: Philomena
should win: Before Midnight 

Nominees Discuss

12 YEARS  A SLAVE
Steve McQueen and John Ridley
FIRST NOMINATIONS!

wins: many critics prizes
noms: Globes, BFCA, Spirit

PHILOMENA
Steve Coogan & Bill Pope
FIRST NOMINATIONS!

wins: Venice
noms: Globes,

WOLF OF WALL STREET
Terence Winter
FIRST NOMINATIONS!

wins: --

CAPTAIN PHILLIPS
Billy Ray
FIRST NOMINATIONS!

wins: --
noms: BFCA WGA 

BEFORE MIDNIGHT
Richard Linklater, Ethan Hawke, Julie Delpy
2nd nomination (for writing) for all 

wins: NSFC, a few critics groups
noms: BFCASpirit, WGA 

Based on the memoirs of Solomon Northup (as told to David Wilson) which were originally published shortly after "Uncle Tom's Cabin". McQueen campaigns harder for the book than for his own contributions to the film's success. He wants it in school curriculum

This could still be this year's sneakiest major Oscar player. It's based on the novel The Lost Child of Philomena Lee by Martin Sixsmith and the screenplay generally wins strong reviews.

A major coup as nominations go. Thought it's heavy on the dialogue (which helps) much public fuss was made about how often the actors were just improving. 

from the non-fiction book "A Captain's Duty: Somali Pirates, Navy SEALS, and Dangerous Days at Sea" by Richard Phillips & Stephan Tatty

Can this trio repeat their "adapted" nomination for revisiting these characters in Before Sunset? Could they even win as a trilogy thank you? Will the DVD release reenergize its Oscar dreams?
Sixth Spot? One presumes that was August: Osage County which is brilliantly written but the mixed critical response due to poor direction and uninspired casting not to mention the weird rollout probably doomed Letts chances