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89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

MANCHESTER BY THE SEA & MOONLIGHT WIN SCREENPLAY OSCARS

THE NOMINEES WERE...

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

20th Century Women Mike Mills *1st nomination!*	Hell or High Water Taylor Sheridan *1st nomination!*	La La Land Damien Chazelle 2nd writing nomination Globe winner,	The Lobster Yorgos Lanthimos & Efthymis Filippou *1st nom in this category*	Manchester by the Sea Kenneth Lonergan 3rd writing nomination \| *1ST WIN!* NBR WINNER,NYFCC Winner
WHO WILL WIN?
Manchester by the Sea has the early edge but watch out for La La Land if it starts sweeping
WHO WAS LEFT OUT?
Captain Fantastic was surely in the running. As were Zootopia and Jackie. The Spirit awards liked The Witch and Little Men but other organizations didn't bite.

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Arrival Eric Heisenberg *(1st nomination!)* from the short story "The Story of Your Life" by Ted Chiang	Fences August Wilson *(1st nomination!)* wins a posthumous nomination for his classic stage play	Hidden Figures Theodore Melfi and Allison Schroeder *(1st nomination!)* adapted the book by Margot Lee Shetterly	Lion Luke Davies *(1st nomination!)* adapting the autobiography "Long Way Home" from Saroo Brierley	Moonlight Barry Jenkins *(1st nomination & WIN)* adapted the unproduced play "In Moonlight Black Boys Look Blue"
WHO WILL WIN?
Screenplay categories can sometimes surprise but Moonlight looks formidable for the win
WHO WAS LEFT OUT?
Loving and Deadpool had WGA nominations, Silence took the NBR, and Nocturnal Animals was BAFTA nominated. Curiously a film that should have been locked up in this category (Love & Friendship) never won any traction.