Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress | Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation
89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only
VIOLA DAVIS FINALLY WON HER OSCAR!
The Nominees Were...
If you missed the Smackdown we did two whole days on this race
Viola Davis Wins Role |
Michelle Williams Role |
Naomie Harris MOONLIGHT Wins Role |
Nicole Kidman INTERVIEW W/ NICOLE Role |
Octavia Spencer Wins Role |
HOW'D THEY GET NOMINATED? |
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50% Performance + Role. It's a great role and there's a reason she won a Tony for it already. She's just volcanic. 24% She's Viola Davis and they know they owe her. 15% That sneaky avoid the competition campaign. We do not approve of category fraud but it worked (sigh). Precursors co-signed 5% snot cry 1% Denzel |
50% Sympathetic Role. Oscar has always loved grieving mothers and big tears 24% Performance + precursors. Critics jumped on it and precursors rallied 10% Her final scene is a cathartic release for the movie's huge fans 5% Oh, right. Michelle Williams. We love her. |
47% Performance. It's hard to play a large poisonous memory and still garner sympathy. 23% Role. Oscar loves an addict. 18% People really love this movie and she's the through line. 7% Discovery factor even though she isn't "new" 3% Hey, it's Moneypenny! 2% Media loved the filmed in three days story |
30% Performance She's sneakily brilliant, deepening a role that could have been flat. 30% Role. Oscar loves a supportive mom. And actors playing real people 20% Lion is loved 10% She's Nicole Kidman. Even ugly wigs can't dull her screen charisma 8% Precursor support 2% Ensemble work. Everyone is so attuned to each other |
33% Box office and critics. A very popular movie. 30% The central trio. She became the place to channel love of the cast as often happens with ensembles. 15% Role: True story appeal 10% Performance. 7% that story of her buying out theaters for poor families to see the movie 5% Minnie! |
WHAT CLIP SHOULD THEY PLAY |
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Anything but the screaming tears. Please there's SO MUCH MORE to this performance | Sick in bed. Her intro scene | "You don't love me no more" | The bathtub "I'll always listen to you" | On the bus "I pay taxes" |
WHO WILL WIN? |
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Viola Davis has this one locked up, 100%. No one has seen the key in months. | ||||
WHO WAS LEFT OUT? |
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Many, including me, were rooting for Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women) to nab her first nomination. Others wanted Janelle Monae (Hidden Figures), Lily Gladstone (Certain Women), or Molly Shannon (Other People) to appear. | ||||