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Charts are for entertainment and speculation purposes only. Read and discuss
AND THE OSCAR GOES TO... Jared Leto as "Rayon" in Dallas Buyers Club
Nathaniel's Ballot
Readers Rank (based on your polling votes): JARED LETO takes the gold with 38% of the votes with MICHAEL FASSBENDER not too far behind for the silver (35%). BARKHAD ABDI takes the bronze with a solid 11%. BRADLEY COOPER (8%) and JONAH HILL (5%) split the stray votes
AND THE NOMINEES ARE... discuss on the blog
Barkhad Abdi |
Bradley Cooper |
Michael Fassbender |
Jared Leto wins: Globes, BFCA, SAG, Los Angeles, New York + a million critics group |
Jonah Hill wins: -- |
A memorable foil to Hanks's stardom as the Somali pirate who hijacks the ship. Oscar loves authentic unknowns (Dr Haing S Ngor anyone?) |
He's very funny as the desperate agent in over his head and Oscar obviously has a taste for acting in David O. Russell pictures. |
Oscar loves evil characters in this category and it was past time to recognize Fassy's gifts. Big meaty role with religious fantacism, sexual menace, and fury |
Hard to ignore this level of visible commitment and raves. Plus Oscar likes a transgendered girl. But what was with that tone deaf speech at the Globes? |
Repulsive character but memorable & funny and people do love both in Scorsese pictures (Joe Pesci anyone?) |
How'd They Get Nominated? | ||||
23% Big hit movie. 20% Role = Huge Co-lead.Oscar loves antagonists like crazy in this category 19% "I'm the captain now" A+ adlib 15% ...part of his authentic Performance. He totally serves the movie 13% Tom Hanks 10% Backstory Bullseye (drives a limo, now he's taking them!) |
28% Timing. Hustle = right size hit, right time, BP hopeful 24% Career momentum (aka Silver Linings) 23% funny Performance 12% Distinct lack of vanity: The curlers, the flop sweat laughter 7% The Role (big screentime) 3% Prize Pack: Bale, Adams & Lawrence 2% Louis CK 1% Plunging necklines |
25% BP Frontrunner = Traction 25% chilling Performance (watch the way he uses other actors as props) 25% Role. Oscar loves evil characters here. 11% Overdue. See the complete works of Steve McQueen: Shame + Hunger 9% Lack of campaign a smart move for a recently ubiquitous new star 5% Sarah Paulson |
40% Role. Oscar has always loved gender-bending characters (especially the tragic ones) 26% Performance - love how he drawls "lone star" 14% Precursor Brainwashing made his competitors afterthoughts. 9% Weight Loss Bait 6% Novelty. Doesn't work much. No one sick of him. 4% BP nod 1% McConaughey |
50% Timing x Controversy. People couldn't stop talking about it during balloting 21% Performance. Supporting is where comic "id" work gets its due 20% Role. Oscar loves Irredeemable foul-mouthed Scorsese men 6% The Hair. The Teeth. The Prosthetic Cock 2% Scorsese + DiCaprio 1% Moneyball broke the Oscar ice |
Which Clip Did Oscar Show? | ||||
"I'm the captain now" - of course | Basically screaming into a telephone over and over again. (odd choice of clip) | "You will strike her" - the whipping has begun | "I wanna be pretty, a beautiful angel" - in the mirror, not much time left | An unusual job offer. Sees the pay stub. Quits his job. |
Who Got Snubbed? | ||||
Sorry bout it... it wasn't a strong year for supporting men. The dread sixth-place spot was probably held by Daniel Brühl who did very well at the supporting precursors for his leading role in Rush. At various times in the season people were holding out hope for James Gandolfini (posthumously) for Enough Said, Tom Hanks for Saving Mr Banks, and Will Forte (still more category fraud) for Nebraska... and it's a pity that Oscar is terrified of really outre work because James Franco was quite deserving for Spring Breakers. Sadly critics groups didn't have the balls to go there in this era of criticism where Oscar predictions take precedence over actual critical opinion. |
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