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 Index | Pic | Dir | Actress | Actor | Supp Actress |  Supp Actor | Foreign |Screenplays | Visual | Aural |Animation 

88th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2015 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only

 discuss on the blog

 

Best Pictures Displayed in Alpha Order
Plus Plenty of Stats,  "How'd They Get Nominated" Fun, and Various Rankings

final predictions


THE BIG SHORT
Adam McKay
(Paramount)
Dec 11th
 BRIDGE OF SPIES
Steven Spielberg
(Disney)
Oct 16th
BROOKLYN
John Crowley
(Fox Searchlight)
Nov 4th
MAD MAX FURY ROAD
George Miller
(Warner Bros)
May 15th
THE MARTIAN
Ridley Scott
(Fox)
Oct 2nd
also: Director, Supporting Actor, Screenplay, & Editing also: Supporting Actor, Screenplay, Production , Score, & Mixing
also: Actress Screenplay
also DirectorVFX,
Editing, Cinemato-graphy, Production, Makeup,  CostumeSound Editing & Mixing
also: Actor, Screenplay, Production, VFX, Sound Editing, & Mixing
A satirical comedy about the men who saw the housing bubble financial crisis coming...  Steven Spielberg's cold war drama about a lawyer tasked with trading an enemy spy for a POW A moving immigration drama, based on the best seller about a young Irish girl creating a new life in New York George Miller's return to the franchise that made his name. Once more into the postapocalyptic fray Ridley Scott's crowd pleaser about a stranded botanist on Mars and a rescue mission to save him
How'd They Get Nominated?
zeitgeist rage, spoonfuls of sugar (comedy, celebrities) to make medicine go down
cast and crew pedigree, optimism, your classy old school option, star charisma
love for best seller, emotional resonance for anyone who's ever left home (i.e. everyone)
cinematic spectacle, absurd commitment to craft, thematic hooks for ongoing media interest, time to settle in as "Best"
crowdpleaser populist appeal, optimism, lightness of tone, star charisma
   
THE REVENANT
(Fox)
Dec 25th
ROOM
(A24)
October 16th
SPOTLIGHT
(Open Road)
Nov 6th

Who Got Left Out:
CAROL is the only true "snub" with 6 nominations, plentiful precursors, but no Best Picture nod. That's a record high in the new "expanded field" years. The previous record holder was a three way tie between Foxcatcher, Girl With the Dragon Tattoo and Skyfall with 5 nominations.

Average Length:
131 minutes
Averaged MPAA:
R
Gender Ratio (Using SAG's Ensemble Rules):
TBA
Between The Pictures:
80+ violent deaths, multiple rapes, 1 consensual sex scene.

also Director, Cinematography, Production, VFX, Makeup, Costume, Editing, Sound Editing, and Mixing  also: Director, Actress, and Adapted Screenplay also: Director, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Screenplay, and Editing
Iñárritu's brutal frontier vengeance thriller about a fur trader mauled by a bear and left for dead by his unfaithful companions
An adaptation of the bestseller in which a mother and her son, raised in captivity, try to adjust to the real world
the true story of journalists investigated the Catholic Church's cover up of child molestations in 90s era Boston
How'd They Get Nominated
ambition, cinematic craft, "raw bison liver!", Oscar's Inaritu fever, intimacy of acting, awesome chemistry, genuinely cathartic true story importance, sober careful storytelling skirts bombast, the ensemble cast, pitch perfect ode to work ethic
RANDOM TRIVIA
SPOTLIGHT
No film about journalism has won Best Picture since Gentleman's Agreement (1947) -- and most since then have been about TV journalism. Can Spotlight change the losing streak?  
ROOM
is the first Best Picture nominee for everyone involved with the exception of actor William H Macy (Seabiscuit, Fargo) and Danny Cohen the DP (Kings Speech, Les Miz). Yes, it's even Joan Allen's first "Best Picture"!
THE REVENANT
All of Inaritu's features have been nominated for at least 1 Oscar. If he wins, Inarittu will join John Ford and Joseph L Mackiewicz as the only consecutive Best Director winners. But no director has ever directed two consecutive Best Pic winners.
THE MARTIAN
Despite several film classics this is actually only Ridley Scott's second Best Picture nominee. The first, Gladiator (2000), won the prize.
MAD MAX FURY ROAD
The only live-action sequel to be nominated for Best Picture when the original film in the series wasn't. Only the second film ever to be so nominated (Toy Story 3 is the other one)
 
BROOKLYN
This is 21 yr old Saoirse Ronan's 16th film and it's already her 3rd Best Picture nominee (Grand Budapest Hotel and Atonement were also nominated) 
BRIDGE OF SPIES
Steve Spielberg's 10th film to be nominated for Best Picture. He's only three away from the all time record (William Wyler has 13)
THE BIG SHORT
3 for 3, eh? The nonfiction bestselling author Michael Lewis (Moneyball, The Blind Side) has had three of his films adapted for the screen in the past six years. ALL were Best Picture nominated
RANKINGS
Nomination Count Rank Box Office Rank  Manly Manliness Rank
(Oscar Drools 4 Machismo)
 Rotten Tomatoes / Meta Critic Scores
Nathaniel's Rank
REVENANT (12)
MARTIAN ($228)
 REVENANT  SPOTLIGHT (97/93)
MAD MAX (A)
MAD MAX (10)
REVENANT ($175) 🔺
 BIG SHORT
 MAD MAX (97/89) ROOM (A)
MARTIAN (7)
MAD MAX ($153) 
 MARTIAN
 BROOKLYN (98/87)
BROOKLYN (A-)
SPOTLIGHT (6)
BRIDGE SPIES ($72) 
 MAD MAX
 ROOM (97/86) SPOTLIGHT (B+)
BRIDGE SPIES (6)
BIG SHORT ($69) 🔺
 BRIDGE
 MARTIAN (93/80)
BRIDGE (B)
THE BIG SHORT (5)
SPOTLIGHT ($41)
 SPOTLIGHT
 BRIDGE (91/81)
MARTIAN (B)
ROOM (4)
BROOKLYN ($37)
 ROOM  BIG SHORT (88/81)
BIG SHORT (C+)
BROOKLYN (3)
ROOM ($14)
 BROOKLYN  REVENANT (81/77)
REVENANT (C)
RANKINGS
Longest to Shortest
MPAA (guesswork on 'hardness' of rating) How Well They Pass The Bechdel Test (via WSJ)  Number of Deaths
 
REVENANT (156)
REVENANT (R) BROOKLYN (pass) MAD MAX (50+)  
MARTIAN (144)
MAD MAX (R) MAD MAX (pass) REVENANT (30+)  
BRIDGE SPIES (141)
BIG SHORT (R) ROOM (pass) BRIDGE OF SPIES (3?)  
BIG SHORT (130)
SPOTLIGHT (R) SPOTLIGHT (debatable pass - we'd argue fail) BROOKLYN (1)  
SPOTLIGHT (128)
ROOM (R) THE MARTIAN (surprising fail) SPOTLIGHT (0 but talk of suicide)  
MAD MAX (120)
MARTIAN (PG-13) BIG SHORT (fail) THE BIG SHORT (0 but talk of suicide)  
ROOM (118)
BRIDGE OF SPIES (PG-13) BRIDGE OF SPIES (fail) ROOM (0 but talk of suicide)  
BROOKLYN (111)
BROOKLYN (PG-13) REVENANT (fail) MARTIAN (0)