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89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 - For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only
The Nominees Were...
Isabelle Huppert wins Role
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Ruth Negga Nov 4th Role
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Natalie Portman wins Role
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Emma Stone wins Role |
FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINS wins Heiress Florence gained infamy for her legitimately terrible singing voice. Nevertheless she ended up at Carnegie Hall |
How'd they get nominated? |
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52% The performance + critical/awards response. She's a f***ing genius 42% She's a screen legend who'd never been nominated and the campaign smartly never let up 7% She kept it tight 5% The Piano Teacher, Amour, etcetera 4% AMPAS's dormant but occasionally triggered Francophilia 1% Things to Come -11% The Role. Not their cuppa |
35% A very smart campaign, keeping the lowest profile competitor high profile. Don't think that was easy. 24% The sympathetic Role. Oscar loves bio pics, and civil rights heroes 19% Wonderfully evocative if subdued performance 8% Stunning red carpet presence. Invite her again! 6% Precursors 5% Release date before the glut gave people time to fall in love. |
32% The film is obsessed with the performance -- everything focusing on it. 31% Strong performance: Oscar loves a mimic 29% Role and memories and affection for the Kennedys. Oscar loves actors pretending to be other famous people. 6% The film's devout if small fanbase 2% Black Swan flashback. She's pregnant again on red carpets |
30% The Movie. A huge hit and she's its soul 20% Timing. A fast-rising popular movie star, making good on all of the early promise. With Oscar it's often about timing. 15% Performance. So charming. 10% "My aunt used to live in Paris..." 8% Precursor support 7% The Role. Oscar likes actors playing actors 7% Ryan Gosling 3% Those jewel tone dresses |
50% She's Meryl Streep, Default Nominee, Legend 20% Anti-T**** sentiment. That Golden Globe speech surely swayed all undecided voters 15% Hugh Grant is so great with actresses 10% Sympathetic Role. Real person based plus Showy 7% Performance. So much fun. -2% Amy Adams. They could only have one of their defaults... but we bet it was close. |
What clip should they play at the Oscar? |
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Talking to her cat pretty please | The best phone acting ever please | Something unexpected bitchy. "I don't smoke" perhaps? | One of the terrible auditions. Not "Audition" | When she's making up lyrics to Cosmo's song. So funny |
Who will win? |
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Emma Stone is the favorite with La La Land tying the record for most nominations ever (14). But there is a slim possibility that critical darling Isabelle Huppert who is perfect in an insanely difficult role in Elle could prove a spoiler. She's campaigned hard | ||||
Who was left out? |
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I was partial to Sonia Braga (Aquarius) and Annette Bening (20th Century Women), but precursors definitely tried to make Amy Adams (Arrival) and Emily Blunt (The Girl on the Train) happen. |