2016's Tentative Calendar
Monday, March 7, 2016 at 6:07PM 
We'll begin awardable speculations all over again starting April 1st as we do. Don't hate us because we're OCD. So I'm prepping a cheat sheet list of releases that could factor in in ways very minor or major. Let me know if I've missed any juicy titles you're awaiting after the jump.
January through April
Which ones will people still care about in 10 months when top ten lists / awards season begins
10 Cloverfield Lane, Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice, The Boss, Demolition, Everybody Wants Some, Hail Caesar!, Hello My Name is Doris, A Hologram for the King, The Huntsman: Winter's War, Krisha, The Meddler, Midnight Special, Miles Ahead, Sing Street, Tale of Tales, The Witch, and Zootopia
Popcorn Season (May-August)
Some Oscar nominees always emerge in the summer. But the question is in which categories?
Alice Through the Looking Glass, Ben-Hur, The BFG, A Bigger Splash, Captain America: Civil War, Captain Fantastic, The Conjuring 2, Finding Dory, The Founder, Genius, Ghostbusters, Hands of Stone, High Rise, Independence Day: Resurgence, Jason Bourne, Kubo & The Two Strings, Last Days in the Desert, The Legend of Tarzan, Money Monster, Pete's Dragon, The Secret Life of Pets, Star Trek Beyond, Suicide Squad, Warcraft, X-Men: Apocalypse
Festival Friendly (Sept-October)
October & November are now the best months for release (statistically) if you'd like to win Best Picture
The Accountant, The Birth of a Nation, Bridget Jones Baby, Deepwater Horizon, Girl on the Train, The Light Between Oceans, Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children, A Monster Calls, Storks, Sully, Snowden,
Holidays (November-December).
December continues to be the most popular month to schedule Oscar hopefuls though no eventual winner has been released that late since 2004. Still, it's usually good for way too many Oscar nominations even if few wins come of them...
Assassin's Creed, Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk, Collateral Beauty, Doctor Strange, Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them, Lion, La La Land, Moana, Passengers, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, Sing, Trolls, Untitled Robert Zemeckis / Brad Pitt World War II Film
Liam Neeson in Martin Scorsese's Silence
Have Yet to be Scheduled But Expected in 2016
20th Century Women (Mike Mills directs The Bening and other stars)
Charming (animated comedy about the Prince's multiple storybook romances)
A Tale of Love and Darkness (Natalie Portman)
Silence (Martin Scorsese directs Liam Neeson, Andrew Garfield, Etc...)
The Last Face (Charlize Theron & Javier Bardem)
The Book of Henry (Naomi Watts, Lee Pace, Jacob Tremblay)
The Zookeepers Wife (Jessica Chastain, WW II drama)
Gold (Matthew McConaughey)
Suite Francaise (Michelle Williams... this is still out there somewhere. It's been finished for how long?)
The Queen of Katwe (Mira Nair directs Lupita Nyong'o)
A United Kingdom (Rosamund Pike & David Oyelowo)
Untitled Howard Hughes Project (Warren Beatty, Alec Baldwin, Lily Collins, The Bening)
Loving (Jeff Nichols directs Joel Edgerton & Ruth Negga, true story)
LBJ (Rob Reiner directs Woody Harrelson in the biopic)
Untitled Woody Allen (Blake Lively, Kristen Stewart, Steve Carell)
The Seagull (Saoirse Ronan, Corey Stoll, and The Bening in a Chekov adaptation)
Beat-up Little Seagull (Michelle Pfeiffer)
The Lost City of Z (James Gray directs Tom Holland and Charlie Hunnam in 1920s jungle exploration)
HHhH (Rosamund Pike, Mia Wasikowska, Jason Clarke in WW II thriller)
War Machine (David Michôd directs Brad Pitt in Afghan war satire)
Nocturnal Animals (Tom Ford directs Amy Adams & Jake Gyllenhaal. Based on the book "Tony & Susan")
The Secret Scripture (Jim Sheridan directs Rooney Mara & Vanessa Redgrave in mental hospital drama)
Una (Rooney Mara & Ben Mendelsohn)
The Whole Truth (Courtney Hunt directs Keanu Reeves & Gugu Mbatha-Raw)
Our Kind of Traitor (Damian Lewis & Naomie Harris)
Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan directs Casey Affleck & Michelle Williams)
Certain Women (Kelly Reichardt directs Kristen Stewart & Michelle Williams)
Tallulah (Ellen Page & Allison Janney)
Trespass Against Us (Michael Fassbender & Brendan Gleeson)
Alone in Berlin (Brendan Gleeson & Emma Thompson)
The Promise (Terry George directs Christian Bale & Oscar Isaac & Charlotte Le Bon in Ottoman Empire love triangle)
The Circle (James Ponsoldt directs Emma Watson & Tom Hanks)
Intended for 2017 but they're already filming so you never know...
Live by Night (Ben Affleck directs Prohibition Era crime story)
Miss Sloane (Jessica Chastain)
The Snowman (Tomas Alfredson directs Michael Fassbender)
Trainspotting 2 (the whole cast returns)
All Eyez on Me (Tupac Shakur bio)
The Dinner (Oren Moverman directs Richard Gere & The Lovely Laura Linney)
Reader Comments (30)
January-April Crop: The five most likely to be remembered for top 10 lists are, in chronological order: The Witch, Zootopia, Midnight Special, Everybody Wants Some! and Green Room.
May-August Crop: The five most likely to be remembered for top 10 lists are, in chronological order: Captain America: Civil War, The BFG, The Purge: Election Year (Yes, really), The Founder and Suicide Squad.
September-October Crop: Five most likely to be remembered for top 10 lists are, in chronological order: Sully, Snowden, Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children, Deepwater Horizon, Birth of a Nation.
November-December Crop: Five most likely to be remembered for top 10 lists are, in chronological order: Billy Lynn's Long Half-Time Walk, Moana, La La Land, Passengers, Assassin's Creed.
(Note: For two films with the same release day, the more likely candidate gets first mention.)
Everyone seems to want to forget the Malick despite its Academy pedigree above and below the line. (Not that I have high hopes for it.)
Elle starring Isabelle Huppert directed by Paul Verhoeven. I'm assuming it will play first at Cannes.
I'm starting to get legit worried as to whether 'The Lobster' will get a US release date any time soon.
It's so depressing to see how 80% of the titles between May and August are sequels or remakes. Ugh.
I can think of Louder than Bombs by Joachim Trier and Jackie, starring Natalie Portman and directed by Pablo Larraín as some of the interesting titles to add to the list.
Agreed on Jackie, and you missed Everybody Wants Some, 20th Century Women, The Seagull, and Manchester by the Sea.
Also, is there any chance Hidden Figures, with Taraji P. Henson and Octavia Spencer, is released this year? Probably not, but it is supposed to be an early 2017 release, so you never know.
Other possibilities currently without dates:
HHhH (Weinsteins, World War Two)
The Lost City of Z (James Gray)
Nocturnal Animals (Tom Ford, Jake Gyllenhaal, Amy Adams)
War Machine (David Michôd, with Brad Pitt)
Plus there are two women-in-mental-hospital movies from Irish directors: The Secret Scripture (Jim Sheridan starring Rooney Mara) vs Brain on Fire (Gerard Barrett starring Chloe Grace Moretz). Rooney Mara also has a meaty-sounding role Blackbird, opp Ben Mendelsohn.
And you can remove Suite Francaise from your list. It came out in the UK in Spring 2015 and will only ever get a tiny contractual release in the US if that.
Paul Outlaw - I've see the new Malick and it is pretty forgettable. Save the marvelous photography, and a trio of decent performances by Blanchett, Portman and Wes Bentley of all people, it's like sitting through another To The Wonder or Tree of Life. More of the same, nothing new from Malick.
For me, this year is all about Silence finally coming to fruition. I've been following it's development since Bush was still in office, and I have a strong feeling that Scorsese knocks this one out of the park.
Other than that, I have high hopes for the new Lonergan and Chazelle flicks.
I used to think The Reader would hold the title of Most Boring-Sounding Movie Title forever, but here comes The Accountant.
Since people start talking "locks" too early, so there is "no room" for new players, I thought I'd put these suggestions in. Oh whoops, I forgot to put in a bunch of white guys. Oh well, if they're really good, maybe we can squeeze them in later.
Best Director:
Mira Nair, The Queen of Katwe
Kelly Reichardt, Certain Women
Amma Asante, A United Kingdom
Susanna White, Our Kind of Traitor
Courtney Hunt, The Whole Truth
Jodie Foster, Money Monster
Don Cheadle, Miles Ahead
Nate Parker, Birth of a Nation
Best Actress:
Lupita Nyong'o , The Queen of Katwe
Gugu Mbatha-Raw, The Whole Truth
Naomie Harris, Our Kind of Traitor
Ruth Negga, Loving
Aunjanue Ellis, Birth of a Nation
Best Actor:
Don Cheadle, Miles Ahead
Nate Parker, Birth of a Nation
Edgar Ramirez, Hands of Stone
David Oyelowo, The Queen of Katwe
David Oyelowo, A United Kingdom
Javier Bardem, The Last Face
Donnie Yen, Rogue One
Diego Luna, Rogue One
The CineScape: Here's something I don't get. All prior movies with Jay Cocks on any sort of writing duty were pretty much badly structured garbage (The Age of Innocence, Strange Days, Gangs of New York, De-Lovely) that everyone else involved with was too good for, so why did Scorsese think pulling this guy out of mothballs was a good idea? So: If every prior movie that the writer has been involved in was kind of crap, why is everyone uncritically going forward with the viewpoint "This movie should absolutely have Oscar buzz when it comes out"? Also: White guys as Portugese priests. Yeah. Somehow, I picture Michael Pena, Benicio Del Toro and Luis Guzman as the central trio way before I picture Andrew Garfield, Adam Driver and Liam Neeson.
And the supporting categories:
Best Supporting Actress:
Aja Naomi King, Birth of a Nation
Sarita Choudry, A Hologram for the King
Emayatsy Corinealdi, Miles Ahead
Ana de Armas, Hands of Stone
Ayelet Zurer, Last Days in the Desert
Sonoya Mizuno, La La Land
Nazanin Boniadi, Ben Hur
Best Supporting Actor:
Colman Domingo, Birth of a Nation
Michael Pena, Collateral Beauty
Laurence Fishburne, Passengers
Tadanobu Sato, Silence
Morgan Freeman, Ben Hur
Rodrigo Santoro, Ben Hur
Man I just realized Tim Burton is directing Samuel L Jackson in Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children. That is a weird combination!
But man, what a cast that has. Asa Butterfield, Eva Green, Samuel L Jackson, Allison Janney, Rupert Everett, Judi Dench,etc., I sure hope Burton gets his groove back!
"Hail, Caesar!" God, loved this one
The Hollywood studio system look, Deakin's cinematography, Alden Ehrenreich and Scarlett Johansson's performances, Tatum's dance and some scenes that wouldn't that delightful if they weren't directed by the Coens.
Hope "The Academy remembers" slogan will aplly to this one (GOT fans will got this last line)
[kindly confronts] OCD is a very debilitating anxiety disorder, not an adjective!
@James C. One of my local cinemas had The Lobster scheduled for 25 March and it has since vanished! I too fear!
I reckon Finding Dory will get a Best Animated Picture nom. As the for the rest, I have no idea.
I second the mentions for Manchester By the Sea, 20th Century Women, Nocturnal Animals, Una, War Machine, and Certain Women.
I'd also add The Circle, Trespass Against Us, The Promise, and Talullah.
...badly structured garbage (The Age of Innocence, Strange Days, Gangs of New York, De-Lovely)...
Err...um...I'll give you two of those under "badly structured," but I can't say that any of those films is total garbage or even close to it.
Blimey, Suite Francaise came out in the UK almost exactly a year ago, and did pretty good business. It's with the Weinsteins in the US, though, so it'll probably be dumped on 20 screens sometime in 2019.
adri -- i think you'll agree that i do not talk about "locks" early. That word only has meaning unless you wait! I find it absurd that so many people use it on films no one has even seen yet. Or even on films that some have seen that haven't opened.
I would caution that MILES AHEAD is pretty bad though.
Volvagia -- yeah, calling those movies garbage is *really* a stretch. I mean I don't like Gangs of New York but "garbage"? and of course Strange Days and Age of Innocence have some degree of awesomeness even if the parts are greater than the whole.
Im actually really intrigued by Stephen Gaghan's Gold. The story it is based on is incredibly interesting. And have you seen what McConaughey looks like on set of that film. I can't imagine him doing it unless he thought this film had real potential. I feel like he could be back in full force with this one. Can't say i share the same feeling about Free State of Jones. The trailer was underwhelming and I'm afraid well be getting another white savior story even though the real guy was much more complicated. Though I also don't know if it's smart to bet against Gary Ross. I'm looking forward to this year cause it seems like its more mysterious than other years.
Nat: You may want to add Story of Your Life (Villeneuve directs Amy Adams and Jeremy Renner, based on the award winning short story) to the "Have Yet to Be Scheduled" section. Villeneuve seems poised for an awards breakout eventually. I mean how long can they keep ignoring him?
I'd be surprised if Loving doesn't get held for 2017, to coincide with the 50th anniversary of the Supreme Court decision. Also, if Midnight Special gets traction with critics and/or audiences, distributors might not want two Jeff Nichols films in contention at the same time.
I'm intrigued to see how the immediate reaction to this year's Oscars controversy plays out - will a variety of films and performances be part of the awards conversation, or will a movie like The Birth of a Nation end up sucking up all the air?
I also would have added the new film adaptation of MARJORIE PRIME, but I have a feeling it won't be ready until 2017.
Jodie Foater as best director gave me a good laugh.
I didn't want to be the one to mention this, and it looks particularly frothy and forgettable, but we all know we shouldn't count out Meryl & Florence Foster Jenkins.
With a couple of interesting names involved (Desplat, Consolate Boyle) there may be opportunities for craft nominations if the film gets any love.
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