84th Oscars. Predictions for Films of 2011
Did Win: MERYL STREEP finally won her third.
Will Win/Should Win: It's a squeaker but we're guessing Viola Davis pulls this one out.
But It Might Be: Meryl Streep and god it's been a long time waiting for that third Oscar! One of these years...
Reader's Rank (Polls Closed): 1. STREEP (36%)... we did an additional mess of ranking for Streep here. So fun! 2. DAVIS (32%) 3. MARA (13%) 4. WILLIAMS (11%) 5. CLOSE (6%)
Nathaniel's Rank: 1. VIOLA 2. MERYL 3. (tie) MICHELLE & MARA 5. CLOSE
THE NOMINEES ARE...
64 yrs old
46 yrs old
BFCA, SAG, and critics prizes
26 years old
"Lisbeth Salander" a troubled hacker
The Girl With
the Dragon Tattoo
and one critics prize
|How'd She Get Nominated?|
|Who Got Snubbed?|
|Rooney Mara's surging with a slow burn hit and a beloved character (Dragon Tattoo didn't open superbly but grew legs) cost Tilda Swinton. Tilda had won the NBR and the OFCS and a few other critics prizes as well as all of the major precursor nominations. Still, We Need To Talk About Kevin was always going to be a hard sell with Oscar. She came as far as she did partially on the momentum of three years of great work post-Oscar win. Kirsten Dunst, another worthy contender, never won post Cannes traction. Nathaniel's Personal Ballot.|
|Who is Likely to Win?|
|It's shaping up to be a battle between Meryl Streep (Globe & BAFTA winner and long overdue for a third Oscar) and Viola Davis (just hitting her stride which is a wonderful time to reward people and she's won SAG and BFCA). Michelle and Glenn pull "due" votes away from Meryl rather than Viola so we're guessing Viola. But not-so-secretly we're hoping for a tie.