Oscar History

The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R. Gemini, Cinephile, Actressexual. All material herein is written and copyrighted by Nathaniel or a member of our team as noted.

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Personal Ballot: Best Supporting Actress

"Must admit to not having seen "20th Century Women" yet. I'm already an Elle Fanning admirer. So I'm looking forward to seeing whether she or Greta Gerwig can shake up my list." - Ken


Pablo Larraín (Jackie)
Jessica Chastain (Miss Sloane)
Gael García Bernal (Neruda)
Billy Crudup (20th Century Women)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Denis Villeneuve (Arrival



 Index | Picture | Dir | Actor | Supp ActressSupp Actor | Foreign | Screenplays | Visual | Aural | Animation

84th Oscars. Predictions for Films of 2011

Did Win: MERYL STREEP finally won her third. 

Will Win/Should Win
: It's a squeaker but we're guessing Viola Davis pulls this one out.
But It Might Be: Meryl Streep and god it's been a long time waiting for that third Oscar! One of these years...

Reader's Rank (Polls Closed): 1. STREEP (36%)... we did an additional mess of ranking for Streep here. So fun! 2. DAVIS (32%) 3. MARA (13%) 4. WILLIAMS (11%) 5. CLOSE (6%)

Nathaniel's Rank: 1. VIOLA 2. MERYL 3. (tie) MICHELLE & MARA 5. CLOSE




64 yrs old
6 nominations
"Albert Nobbs"
a waiter

Albert Nobbs

not yet


46 yrs old
2 nominations
"Aibeleen Clark"
a maid

The Help

BFCA, SAG, and critics prizes


26 years old
1st nomination!
"Lisbeth Salander" a troubled hacker
The Girl With

the Dragon Tattoo

NBR (breakthrough)
and one critics prize



62 yrs old
17 noms | 2 wins

"Margaret Thatcher"
the politician
The Iron Lady

NYFCC, Oscar
 Golden Globe , BAFTA, and critics prizes

31 yrs old
3 nominations

"Marilyn Monroe"
the movie star
My Week With Marilyn

Golden Globe, the majority of critics prizes

How'd She Get Nominated?
tba tba tba tba tba
Who Got Snubbed?
Rooney Mara's surging with a slow burn hit and a beloved character (Dragon Tattoo didn't open superbly but grew legs) cost Tilda Swinton. Tilda had won the NBR and the OFCS and a few other critics prizes as well as all of the major precursor nominations. Still, We Need To Talk About Kevin was always going to be a hard sell with Oscar. She came as far as she did partially on the momentum of three years of great work post-Oscar win. Kirsten Dunst, another worthy contender, never won post Cannes traction. Nathaniel's Personal Ballot.
Who is Likely to Win?
It's shaping up to be a battle between Meryl Streep (Globe & BAFTA winner and long overdue for a third Oscar) and Viola Davis (just hitting her stride which is a wonderful time to reward people and she's won SAG and BFCA). Michelle and Glenn pull "due" votes away from Meryl rather than Viola so we're guessing Viola.  But not-so-secretly we're hoping for a tie.


last year