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The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R


 Gemini, Cinephile, Actressexual. Also loves cats. All material herein is written and copyrighted by him, unless otherwise noted. twitter | facebook | pinterest | tumblr | letterboxd

 

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Amy Adams for Janis Joplin

"It's baffling to me that Amy Adams will potentially have as many nominations as Blanchett, Winslet, Maggie Smith, Vanessa Redgrave, Thelma Ritter, Deborah Kerr, Sissy Spacek, and Glenn Close. This is weird, right?" -Aaron

"What is happening with Nina Arianda's Janis film with Sean Durkin? It's still listed as "announced" on her IMDB. Are we to assumed that it is a lost cause?" -Ryan

 

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84th Oscars. Predictions for Films of 2011
OFFICIAL NOMINATIONS

Did Win: MERYL STREEP finally won her third. 

previously...
Will Win/Should Win
: It's a squeaker but we're guessing Viola Davis pulls this one out.
But It Might Be: Meryl Streep and god it's been a long time waiting for that third Oscar! One of these years...

Reader's Rank (Polls Closed): 1. STREEP (36%)... we did an additional mess of ranking for Streep here. So fun! 2. DAVIS (32%) 3. MARA (13%) 4. WILLIAMS (11%) 5. CLOSE (6%)

Nathaniel's Rank: 1. VIOLA 2. MERYL 3. (tie) MICHELLE & MARA 5. CLOSE

 

 

THE NOMINEES ARE...

GLENN CLOSE
64 yrs old
6 nominations
"Albert Nobbs"
a waiter

Albert Nobbs

prizes:
not yet

 

 
VIOLA DAVIS
46 yrs old
2 nominations
"Aibeleen Clark"
a maid

The Help

prizes:
BFCA, SAG, and critics prizes

 

 
 
ROONEY MARA
26 years old
1st nomination!
"Lisbeth Salander" a troubled hacker
The Girl With

the Dragon Tattoo

prizes:
NBR (breakthrough)
and one critics prize

 



 

MERYL STREEP
62 yrs old
17 noms | 2 wins

"Margaret Thatcher"
the politician
The Iron Lady

prizes: 
NYFCC, Oscar
 Golden Globe , BAFTA, and critics prizes

MICHELLE WILLIAMS
31 yrs old
3 nominations

"Marilyn Monroe"
the movie star
My Week With Marilyn

prizes:
Golden Globe, the majority of critics prizes

 
How'd She Get Nominated?
tba tba tba tba tba
Who Got Snubbed?
Rooney Mara's surging with a slow burn hit and a beloved character (Dragon Tattoo didn't open superbly but grew legs) cost Tilda Swinton. Tilda had won the NBR and the OFCS and a few other critics prizes as well as all of the major precursor nominations. Still, We Need To Talk About Kevin was always going to be a hard sell with Oscar. She came as far as she did partially on the momentum of three years of great work post-Oscar win. Kirsten Dunst, another worthy contender, never won post Cannes traction. Nathaniel's Personal Ballot.
Who is Likely to Win?
It's shaping up to be a battle between Meryl Streep (Globe & BAFTA winner and long overdue for a third Oscar) and Viola Davis (just hitting her stride which is a wonderful time to reward people and she's won SAG and BFCA). Michelle and Glenn pull "due" votes away from Meryl rather than Viola so we're guessing Viola.  But not-so-secretly we're hoping for a tie.
 

 

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