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84th Oscars. Predictions for Films of 2011
OFFICIAL NOMINATIONS
Did Win: MERYL STREEP finally won her third.
previously...
Will Win/Should Win: It's a squeaker but we're guessing Viola Davis pulls this one out.
But It Might Be: Meryl Streep and god it's been a long time waiting for that third Oscar! One of these years...
Reader's Rank (Polls Closed): 1. STREEP (36%)... we did an additional mess of ranking for Streep here. So fun! 2. DAVIS (32%) 3. MARA (13%) 4. WILLIAMS (11%) 5. CLOSE (6%)
Nathaniel's Rank: 1. VIOLA 2. MERYL 3. (tie) MICHELLE & MARA 5. CLOSE
THE NOMINEES ARE... |
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GLENN CLOSE
64 yrs old
6 nominations "Albert Nobbs"
a waiter
Albert Nobbs prizes:
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VIOLA DAVIS
46 yrs old 2 nominations "Aibeleen Clark"
a maid
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ROONEY MARA
26 years old
1st nomination! "Lisbeth Salander" a troubled hacker
The Girl With |
MERYL STREEP "Margaret Thatcher" prizes: |
MICHELLE WILLIAMS "Marilyn Monroe" prizes: |
| How'd She Get Nominated? | ||||
| tba | tba | tba | tba | tba |
| Who Got Snubbed? | ||||
| Rooney Mara's surging with a slow burn hit and a beloved character (Dragon Tattoo didn't open superbly but grew legs) cost Tilda Swinton. Tilda had won the NBR and the OFCS and a few other critics prizes as well as all of the major precursor nominations. Still, We Need To Talk About Kevin was always going to be a hard sell with Oscar. She came as far as she did partially on the momentum of three years of great work post-Oscar win. Kirsten Dunst, another worthy contender, never won post Cannes traction. Nathaniel's Personal Ballot. | ||||
| Who is Likely to Win? | ||||
| It's shaping up to be a battle between Meryl Streep (Globe & BAFTA winner and long overdue for a third Oscar) and Viola Davis (just hitting her stride which is a wonderful time to reward people and she's won SAG and BFCA). Michelle and Glenn pull "due" votes away from Meryl rather than Viola so we're guessing Viola. But not-so-secretly we're hoping for a tie. |
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