Oscar History

The Film Experience™ was created by Nathaniel R. Gemini, Cinephile, Actressexual. All material herein is written and copyrighted by Nathaniel or a member of our team as noted.

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Personal Ballot: Best Supporting Actress

"Must admit to not having seen "20th Century Women" yet. I'm already an Elle Fanning admirer. So I'm looking forward to seeing whether she or Greta Gerwig can shake up my list." - Ken

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Pablo Larraín (Jackie)
Jessica Chastain (Miss Sloane)
Gael García Bernal (Neruda)
Billy Crudup (20th Century Women)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Denis Villeneuve (Arrival


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Podcast: Should Win / Will Win 

It's the final podcast before the Oscars! Join Nathaniel R, Katey Rich, Nick Davis, and Joe Reid as we reveal both our predictions and our preferences, one category at a time. 

00:00 Directors, BAFTA, Bette & P¡nk
09:00 Should Win / Will Win Intro, Sound Categories, Doc, Animated, Foreign categories
23:00 Visual Categories
39:00 Screenplays & Acting
51:30 Director & Picture
55:30 Exit Question

You can listen to the podcast right here at the bottom of the post or download the conversation on iTunes. Continue the conversation in the comments... which of our ballots most closely resembles yours?Hunger, Shame, I Heart Huckabees, Taxi Driver, King of Comedy, Goodfellas, Cape Fear, Children of Men, Y Tu Mama Tambíen, 

Should Win / Will Win

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Reader Comments (27)

Nathaniel- I don't think you listed your picks for Documentary. I'm curious to here what you'd pick, particularly if you ended up watching The Act of Killing.

You guys are getting my hopes up for a Her win in Production Design. I would loooove to see that happen because of the world it created. I like to say it is the first film set in the future that might actually underestimate what that future looks like. A win for Her in score would also be lovely.

I think Dallas Buyers Club is walking away with three wins, which is just crazy considering that that it would be lucky for 12 Years a Slave and miraculous for American Hustle to win that many.

February 23, 2014 | Unregistered CommenterEvan

*hear. (I've got Bradley Cooper level writing skills, it would seem.)

February 23, 2014 | Unregistered CommenterEvan

Nick, Blanchett needs removal from your Slum Queens ghetto. She has done the improbable for everyone else but your favorites (Streep & Lange) and has risen up from the ashes of Supporting Actress into the immortalizing relevancy of Best Actress winners (Kathy Bates).

February 24, 2014 | Unregistered Commenter3rtful

Great podcast, guys!

Here's my SHOULD win list:

Picture: Her
Director: McQueen
Actor: Ejiofor
Actress: Dench (I wouldn't mind anyone winning this except Bullock, but I want Dench to win because I don't see many more chances for her to get a lead actress Oscar)
Sup. Actor: Fassbender
Sup Actress: Lupita
Original Screenplay: Her
Adapted Screenplay: Before Midnight
Foreign: The Hunt
Animated: Ernest and Celestine
Documentary: Sadly I haven't seen any of them
Costume: Gatsby
Cinematography: Llewyn Davis
Production Design: Her
Editing: 12 Years a Slave
Visual Effects: Gravity
Makeup: Dallas Buyers Club (but none really)
Original Score: Her
Sound Mixing: Llewyn Davis
Sound Editing: Gravity
Original Song: Her

February 24, 2014 | Unregistered CommenterSad man

After this podcast was finished, my iTunes shuffle sent me right to Alone Yet Not Alone. It's like it knew.....

I think the preferential ballot is going to hurt 12 Years A Slave in Picture. When going for nominations it doesn't matter if you're second or third because the #1 vote is really all that counts, but the win works in exactly the opposite way. 12 Years A Slave will clearly have a ton of #1 votes, but will it be #2 on enough of the American Hustle ballots to ward off Gravity? Nervous!

February 24, 2014 | Unregistered CommenterTB

Should Wins
Picture: 12 Years
Director: 12 Years
Actor: McConaughey (Jackman for "Prisoners," Washington for "Blue Caprice," and Bale for "Out of the Furnace" top my personal ballot though)
Actress: Blanchett (don't screw this up, Academy! My best actress hasn't matched yours since....1993?)
Supporting Actor: Cooper (WTF, Academy?! Gandolfini should be here)
Supporting Actress: Nyong'o (WTF, Academy!!! Where is Johansson for "Don Jon." That grinding scene is totally an Oscar clip!!)
Adapted Screenplay: Before Midnight (is this adapted from a novelization of the previous films or....?)
Original Screenplay: Blue Jasmine (none of the nominees impress me though. Would have loved to see "Frances Ha" or "Inside Llewyn Davis")

February 24, 2014 | Unregistered CommenterBVR

Oh and it really is so nice to have the full group back together. Great podcast, as always. If I were going to make one request, I'd have loved hearing what your Should Have Been Nominated picks would have been. There's always great work that goes unrecognized, but this year was just so rich that it really feels like a disappointment not to hear more of those names. Clio Barnard! Exarchopoulos/Seydoux! Gerwig/Baumbach! Bradford Young! Spring Breakers! The Spectacular Now! Fill The Void!

February 24, 2014 | Unregistered CommenterTB

I would love to hear Nick's ultimate take on Blanchett in Blue Jasmine. He has been so vague discussing it and I have to say as much as I think Blanchett's performance will probably be the best winner int hat category since Holly Hunter, I kinda need his validation in some way hahah.

Nick, if you see this, can you please do one of your capsules on that performance? Thank you so much!

Great podcast guys, as per usual.

February 24, 2014 |