Team Experience: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions!

by Cláudio Alves

We predict EMILIA PÉREZ is about to make Oscar history.

With the Oscar nominations mere hours away, it's time to present the Team Experience's final predictions. Like last time, you get each writer's individual guesses, followed by an aggregate collective prediction. Tallying everything up, the Team Experience believes Emilia Pérez will be the nomination leader with eleven mentions, which would make it the most nominated non-English-language film of all time. The musical is closely followed by The Brutalist and Conclave, which have nine each. We also see Wicked scoring eight categories, while Dune: Part Two settles for seven. In the 2023/4 season, we averaged 70% correct predictions, with Nathaniel and I leading the pack with 73% accuracy. Time will tell what pundit claims victory this year…

This is the same group of ten we predicted pre-Globes, but there's been a lot of moving around within those predictions. Emilia Pérez, The Brutalist, A Complete Unknown, and The Substance all rose, while all others fell a spot or two, or four in Anora's case. Such movements result from the Globes shaking the race up with some stirring speeches and a bunch of notorious omissions. There are also the guilds to contend with, skewing the season's overall narrative away from Sean Baker's Palme d'Or winner and toward other titles. It's worth noting that this is the PGA lineup with Sing Sing swapped in to replace September 5.

In Best Director, the Nickel Boys' poor guild performance knocked RaMell Ross off the predicted five. In contrast, The Substance's consistent popularity brought Coralie Fargeat to the forefront, even though she missed DGA. Curiously, after Sean Baker topped the pre-Globes chart, Corbet and Audiard jumped ahead for this final round. Will the Oscar race come down to those two?

Best Actress is one of the most volatile categories, with four apparently safe contenders and a single slot fought over by a plethora of potential nominees. Between the nine TFE writers, it seems Cynthia Erivo is the most vulnerable of the frontrunner quartet, a potential victim to the Academy's ranked preferential ballots. Will she get enough #1 votes to secure her spot? Conversely, will the real passion behind such campaigns as Torres and Jean-Baptiste's materialize a nod? Statistically, the Brazillian star of I'm Still Here is likelier to get in, as only two Best Actress – Drama Golden Globe winners have ever missed the Oscar nomination. They were Shirley MacLaine in 1988 for Madame Sousatzka and Kate Winslet in 2008 for Revolutionary Road. Then again, MacLaine won in a three-way tie, and Winslet was Oscar-nominated for The Reader that same season. If Torres misses, it'll be unprecedented.

Best Actor is much less exciting – business as usual if you ask me – with only the last spot being up for grabs. And even then, it seems like a two-way race between Daniel Craig in Queer and Sebastian Stan in The Apprentice. The former suffers from his film being generally ignored this season, only ever scoring nods for him. The latter may split votes with himself for A Different Man. And yet, I wonder if Jesse Eisenberg might surprise us all. I'm not brave enough to predict such an upset, however.

Who knows what'll happen in Best Supporting Actress? Somehow, this race is even more chaotic than its leading counterpart, with only Saldaña and Grande feeling 100% locked. Anything could happen with the three remaining slots, though we're collectively predicting Monica Barbaro with a nepo baby duo in tow.

The only Best Supporting Actor contenders predicted by everyone are Kieran Culkin and Edward Norton. Yura Borisov and Guy Pearce are next in line in terms of likelihood, but Nathaniel and I have doubts about each man, respectively. If Denzel Washington is nominated, as three pundits are predicting, it'll be the first time he scores at the Oscars without a matching SAG nod.

A Real Pain and Anora are Original Screenplay locks. Anything goes with those three other slots, with most writers predicting Hard Truths, though The Brutalist scores higher in our point system. The group is generally skeptical about September 5, but a few pundits still feel it'll make a splash with AMPAS.

In Adapted Screenplay, only Conclave and Sing Sing score mentions from all writers. Emilia Pérez got close, if not for Eurocheese's hunch that it'll get snubbed. Speaking of idiosyncratic hunches, Nathaniel and Nick remain convinced that The Room Next Door will get some Academy love. One thing's for sure – you should never bet against Sony Pictures Classics, who know how to campaign like few others in Tinsel Town.

This category often feels like a collection of Best Picture frontrunners with the occasional action movie thrown in. I guess Dune: Part Two fits the bill, being action-adjacent. I'm still convinced September 5 makes it here, if nowhere else, even though I'm not especially fond of its cutting.

Could Nickel Boys' first-person lensing score it a Best Cinematography nomination? Like its directors' counterpart, the cinematographers' branch is known to have a taste for adventure and slightly more arthouse-inclined titles. Yet, will that benefit Nickel Boys or something like The Girl with the Needle? It feels odd that no one predicted A Complete Unknown since Phedon Papamichael is a beloved nominee from past years – not beloved by me, mind you.

Wicked is a lock and the frontrunner, according to everyone but Eric Blume. Everyone is also in agreement that Dune and The Brutalist are likely Best Production Design nominees. Then, it's a three-way tussle over the remaining two slots, with Conclave and Nosferatu pulling ahead. Then again, last year, the branch nominated Napoleon after everyone had decided it was done as far as awards were concerned. Could history repeat itself with Ridley Scott's newest historical epic?

Best Costume Design is trickier, still, with Wicked an absolute lock followed by a bunch of vulnerable contenders. The quintet in the collective predictions are all former nominees, with Beetlejuice Beetlejuice's Colleen Atwood and Gladiator II's Janty Yates being previous winners. Curiously, Yates won the Oscar for the first Gladiator. In the annals of the Academy's history, only once has a Costume Design winner been nominated for their work in the picture's direct sequel. It was Ruth E. Carter for the Black Panther movies. Moreover, she won, a feat I don't think Yates is at risk of repeating.

Is it odd that no one predicted Dune? In any case, only The Substance feels locked for this notoriously unpredictable race. It's also our frontrunner, managing to transcend AMPAS' anti-horror bias on its way to gold. At least, that's what Team Experience is predicting at the moment.

I shudder at the thought of Mufasa: The Lion King becoming an Oscar nominee, as Eric and Abe have predicted. Then again, the first "live-action" Lion King got this nomination, ultimately losing to 1917 in a surprise upset that, in retrospect, shouldn't have been as surprising as all that.

To me, the Best Original Score race feels a tad volatile, but you wouldn't guess it based on these results. Everyone has precited The Brutalist, Conclave, Challengers, and The Wild Robot, but only Abe, Ben, and Nathaniel doubt Emilia Pérez will make it. I wonder if one of the other shortlisted scores could pose a threat, something none of us is predicting.

Nick is the resident Diane Warren non-believer since everyone else has grown resigned over her permanent spot in the Best Original Song race. Still, Emilia Pérez remains the frontrunner, with "El Mal" edging ahead of "Mi Camino" after its Golden Globe victory. It helps that it might be the film's only memorable song. At least, I can remember its basic melody, which isn't true of any of its other tunes.

I really want to believe that Blitz can get a Best Sound nomination, as it is the best of the shortlisted achievements. Fingers crossed that Eric and Chris are right for predicting it, even though I believe Gladiator II will score the nod instead. Will Emilia Pérez become the first AI-assisted musical to get a nomination here? Heaven knows the sound branch loves music-centered narratives.

Best Animated Feature is the only race where everyone predicted the same five. That alone makes me want to change my prediction, and go back to my pre-Globes guess that Moana 2's massive box office pulls it ahead of Adam Elliot's Memoir of a Snail.

Beyond Sugarcane and No Other Land, nobody's safe in the Best Documentary feature race. Indeed, even those two might be more vulnerable than expected, as this branch is known to surprise pundits. I only hope the Palestinian documentary doesn't become the year's big snub. In other news, if these five make it, the lineup will be dominated by anti-colonialist sentiment, with only Daughters differing in theme.

In Best International Feature, France's Emilia Pérez, Brazil's I'm Still Here, and Germany's The Seed of the Sacred Fig are locked and loaded. From there, it's a tricky category where anything can happen. Even so, I'm surprised I was the only one to predict Flow. I get that double-dipping in these specialty feature categories is rare, but the cat flick seems poised to do it.

There's not much to say about the shorts' categories, where even the best pundits struggle to succeed. Indeed, some of the team members chose to sit these ones out. It would be funny if AMPAs managed to nominate some of the only four shortlisted titles we all kept out of our Animated Short predictions.

Best Documentary Short, at least, has one movie everybody agrees will show up. Once Upon a Time in Ukraine is as close as it gets to a lock and, even then, nobody would be too shocked if AMPAS ignored it altogether.

Finally, Anuja and The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent seem poised for Best Live-Action Short nominations, in part because they've been campaigning well. The former certainly fills this category's storied predilection for tales of suffering children. Looking back, I probably should have placed it higher on my predictions.

What about you, dear reader? Please share your predictions in the comments.

Comments

[DAVID S]

I could easily see the snub in Best Actress actually being Karla Sofia Gascon.

Don't be surprised if Best Actress looks like below and BOTH Torres and Jean-Baptiste get in due to high placement votes:

-Demi Moore
-Mikey Madison
-Cynthia Erivo
-Fernanda Torres
-Marianne Jean-Baptiste

[M B]

I thought best picture was the only category to employ the preferential ballot with all other categories using popular vote.

[Cláudio Alves]

M B -- They expanded it a while ago. At least, in the nomination phase. This excerpt is from the 97th Academy Awards rulebook, rule five, referring to the balloting and nominations in all categories:

"...In the nominations voting, the marking and tabulation of all ballots shall be according to the
preferential or reweighted range voting system..."

[Martin]

Can I ask you Claudio, are there any performances (or just one) that really stuck with you or blew you away this year ?
I haven't seen half of them - but feel there is a lot of hype for various and legitimate reasons - but not really the one for the ages. The one that lasts - because it routed...
Lately it looks like we only get them every 10 years ;-) like Blanchett 2014 - Theron 2004 - Hunter 1994...
I so want to be more excited this year ... at the moment I only am about Fiennes, as he needs to be rewarded for historical neglect.

[Cláudio Alves]

Martin -- Very few of the performances I'm most passionate about are anywhere near an Oscar nomination. The ones that left a big mark were Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Fernanda Torres, and Daniel Craig. To a lesser extent, Demi Moore and Sebastian Stan, too.

Looking beyond the Oscars, I strongly recommend...

Joan Chen, DÌDI
Léa Drucker, LAST SUMMER
Juliette Gariépy, RED ROOMS
André Holland, EXHIBITING FORGIVENESS
Nicole Kidman, BABYGIRL
Keith Kupferer, GHOSTLIGHT
Kani Kusruti, GIRLS WILL BE GIRLS
Cillian Murphy, SMALL THINGS LIKE THESE
James Norton, NOWHERE SPECIAL
Adam Pearson, A DIFFERENT MAN
Léa Seydoux, THE BEAST
Craig Tate, NICKEL BOYS

[Mr Ripley79]

My own predictions

Best Actor Stan,Craig,Chalamet,Fiennes,Brody.

I see Domingo being the surprise miss,I think Stan and Craig will have passion votes.

Best Actress

Moore,Gascon,Torres,Baptiste,Madison

I think Erivo is a surprise miss due to Ariana stealing the film from her,the lightweight nature of the role and no wins anywhere a la Robbie 2024 plus always next year.

Supp Actor

Pearce,Culkin,Norton,Strong,Borisov

Maclin misses due to his film not being loved overall.

Supp Actress

Curtis,Barabo,Jones,Saldana,Grande

Qualley is a Mila Kunis 2,0 and Gomez misses due to her co stars eating up the buzz and Rossellini due to not realy giving a performance

[Mr Ripley79]

Joan Chen is my winner of supporting actress this year,what a shame she never got traction,too many comeback narratives in the actress categories and she is the least well known.

I'd just like to single out Cailee Spaney and Kirsten Dunst in Civil War and Jesse Plemons for his terrifying cameo in the same film.

Adam Pearson terrific in A Different Man

Mackenzie Davis in Speak no Evil.

[Mike in Canada]

Pouring one out tonight for the pretty-great all-supporting-actress lineup that could have been:

Monica-Jamie Lee-Aunjanue-Felicity-Isabella.

That's a smackdown-worthy lineup!

[Paranoid Android]

Supporting Actor thoughts: Just don't see Guy Pearce missing. Such a memorable (and by turns funny and alarming) turn in a movie every voter will see. Can't say the same about Maclin or Strong.

If I had to do a No Guts, No Glory, I think I'd go with Stanley Tucci -- well-liked performer who stands out among the rest of the cast in (again) a movie that every voter will have seen. My theme this year is voters are lazy and will tick down names from the same bunch of films.

[Frank Zappa]

BEST PICTURE
Anora
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Emilia Pérez
A Real Pain
September 5
The Substance
Wicked

Alt: Dune 2, Sing Sing, Nickel Boys

BEST DIRECTOR
Jacques Audiard
Edward Berger
Sean Baker
Brady Corbet
Coralie Fargeat

Alt: Mangold, Chu, Ross

BEST ACTRESS
Cynthia Erivo
Karla Sofía Gascón
Marianne Jean-Baptiste
Mikey Madison
Demi Moore

Alt: Torres, Anderson, Jolie, Kidman

BEST ACTOR
Adrien Brody
Timothee Chalamet
Daniel Craig
Colman Domingo
Ralph Fiennes

Alt: Stan (A Different Man), Stan (The Apprentice), Grant

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jamie Lee Curtis
Ariana Grande-Butera
Felicity Jones
Isabella Rossellini
Zoe Saldaña

Alt: Barbaro, Austin, Deadwyler, Qualley, Ellis-Taylor, Gomez

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Yura Borisov
Kieran Culkin
Edward Norton
Guy Pearce
Jeremy Strong

Alt: Maclin, Eydelshteyn

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Anora
The Brutalist
A Real Pain
September 5
The Substance

Alt: Hard Truths, Challengers, The Seed of the Sacred Fig, All We Imagine Is Light

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Emilia Pérez
Nickel Boys
Sing Sing

Alt: The Room Next Door, Dune 2, Wicked

BEST FILM EDITING
Challengers
Emilia Pérez
Conclave
Dune 2
September 5

Alt: Anora, The Brutalist, A Complete Unknown, Civil War, Wicked, The Substance

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Brutalist
Conclave
Dune 2
Nickel Boys
Nosferatu

Alt: Maria, A Complete Unknown, Emilia Pérez, Wicked

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
The Brutalist
Conclave
Dune 2
Nosferatu
Wicked

Alt: The Substance, Gladiator 2, Furiosa, Emilia Pérez

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Conclave
Dune 2
Gladiator 2
Nosferatu
Wicked

Alt: Beetlejuice Beetlejuice, Blitz, The Brutalist, A Complete Unknown, Emilia Pérez, Furiosa

BEST MAKEUP/HAIRSTYLING
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice
A Different Man
Nosferatu
The Substance
Wicked

Alt: The Apprentice, Dune 2, Emilia Pérez, Brando

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Better Man
Dune 2
Gladiator 2
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
Wicked

Alt: Alien: Romulus, Civil War, Deadpool & Wolverine

BEST SOUND
Alien: Romulus
A Complete Unknown
Dune 2
Emilia Pérez
Wicked

Alt: Gladiator 2, The Wild Robot, Blitz, Deadpool & Wolverine

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
The Brutalist
Challengers
Conclave
Emilia Pérez
The Wild Robot

Alt: Nosferatu, Gladiator 2, The Room Next Door, Wicked

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Compress/Repress”
“El Mal”
“The Journey”
“Mi Camino”
“Never Too Late”

Alt: “Harper and Will Go West,” “Kiss the Sky,” “Sick in the Head”

BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM
Emilia Pérez
Flow
I’m Still Here
Kneecap
The Seed of the Sacred Fig

Alt: Vermiglio, The Girl with the Needle

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Flow
Inside Out 2
Memoir of a Snail
Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
The Wild Robot

Alt: Moana 2

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
A Bear Named Wojtek
Yuck!
Wander to Wonder
Beautiful Men
Maybe Elephants

BEST DOCUMENTARY
Black Box Diaries
Daughters
No Other Land
Porcelain War
Will & Harper

Alt: Dahomey, Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat, Sugarcane, The Remarkable Life of Ibelin, Hollywoodgatete

BEST DOC SHORT
A Swim Lesson
The Quilters
Makayla’s Voice: A Letter to the World
I Am Ready, Warden
Once Upon a Time in Ukraine

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent
An Orange From Jaffa
Anuja
Dovecote
The Masterpiece

[César Gaytán]

Am I the only one who thinks that Demi is not THAT good?

She is good but not in who I think about a great performance.

Not even for the genre, I found Lily Rose Depp more thrilling in Nosferatu

[Frank Zappa]

@ César

A prediction is not an endorsement. (I personally haven't seen The Substance yet, that's happening this week. I did think that Depp was surprisingly great in Nosferatu.)

[Fabio Dantas Flappers]

Here we go.
Only the Big 8.
Not exactly what I want, but probably what will happen.

* BEST PICTURE

Anora
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Dune Part Two
Emilia Pérez
A Real Pain
September 5
The Substance
Wicked

My Wishful Thinking: Challengers
No Guts No Glory: The Room Next Door

* BEST DIRECTOR

Sean Baker
Brady Corbet
James Mangold
Edward Berger
Jacques Audiard

My Wishful Thinking: Luca Guadagnino (Challengers)
No Guts No Glory: Pedro Almodóvar/ Mohammad Rasoulof (I really think one of them really can surprise everyone)

* BEST ACTOR

Adrien Brody
Timothee Chalamet
Jesse Eisenberg
Ralph Fiennes
Sebastian Stan (A Different Man)

My Wishful Thinking: Mike Faist
No Guts No Glory: Nicholas Hoult

* BEST ACTRESS

Pamela Anderson
Karla Sofía Gascón
Mikey Madison
Demi Moore
Fernanda Torres

My Wishful Thinking: Nicole Kidman
No Guts No Glory: Tilda Swinton

* BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Yura Borisov
Kieran Culkin
Mark Eydelshteyn
Edward Norton
Jeremy Strong

My Wishful Thinking: Nicholas Braun
No Guts No Glory: Stanley Tucci

* BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Monica Barbaro
Jamie Lee Curtis
Ariana Grande
Isabella Rossellini
Zoe Saldaña

My Wishful Thinking: Selena Gomez
No Guts No Glory: Michelle Yeoh

* BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Anora
The Brutalist
Challengers
A Real Pain
The Substance

My Wishful Thinking: Saturday Night
No Guts No Glory: The Last Showgirl

* BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Nickel Boys
The Room Next Door
The Seed of the Sacred Fig

My Wishful Thinking: Hit Man
No Guts No Glory: I'm Still Here

[Tony L]

We could have had a year that resulted in:

Nicole Kidman - Babygirl
Demi Moore - The Substance
Julianne Moore - The Room Next Door
Tilda Swinton - The Room Next Door
Kate Winslet - Lee

Oh if only….

Would Love Love LOVE to see a shocker like The Room Next Door or Babygirl receiving multiple nods outta the blue :)

[Philip H.]

Cesar - Demi was fantastic. I loved The Substance (my #2 film of 2024), so that helps, but I genuinely thought she was incredible. Her performance has stuck with me. I’m so happy for her and I’m rooting for her all the way. I love her chill, regal demeanor and her Globes speech was perfection.

-

I’m rooting for…

The Substance! Best Picture, Director, Actress, Original Screenplay, Editing, Makeup and Hairstyling. I would love a Supporting Actress nomination too (Margaret Qualley was fantastic), but her miss with recent organizations made me think maybe it isn’t happening. It definitely could, but I won’t be butt hurt if it doesn’t. She’ll have her moment soon if not.

-

Acting predictions off the top of my head…

ACTOR
Brody
Chalamet
Fiennes
Domingo
Craig

Alt: 1. Stan (The Apprentice), 2. Eisenberg, 3. Grant

Final thoughts: Craig is vulnerable but I think he makes it in. Wouldn’t be surprised if we saw any of those three alternates get in, though. Even Grant… Would be outside of their typical wheelhouse for sure, especially for a movie with such little buzz, but Grant has done surprisingly well this season.

ACTRESS
Madison
Moore
Erivo
Jean-Baptiste
Torres

Alt: 1. Gascon, 2. Anderson, 3. Jolie

Final thoughts: Maybe it’s wishful thinking re: Gascon… It’s just such a competitive category I’d rather others make it in. Gascon is highly likely, but I also think she’s just getting automatic slots but not many passion votes, which could hurt her chances. Same could be said for Erivo tbh. I see at least Jean-Baptiste or Torrres getting a spot, if not both. I’d be thrilled to see Anderson nominated—SAG was a huge boost—but I don’t see it happening. Jolie still has a fighting chance bc she’s Jolie and it’s a biopic.

SUPP ACTOR
Culkin
Borisov
Norton
Pearce
Eydelshteyn

Alt: 1. Strong, 2. Maclin, 3. Washington

Final thoughts; Yawn. I’d love to see Eydelshteyn get in and I don’t think it’s out of the realm of possibility at all.

SUPP ACTRESS
Saldaña
Grande
Rossellini
Jones
Qualley

Alt: 1. Barbaro, 2. Curtis, 3. Deadwyler, 4. Gomez

Final thoughts: I guess my gut right now is telling me Qualley gets in. Supporting acttess became even more of a bloodbath than lead actress once Deadwyler proved she isn’t dead in the water, Curtis staked her claim in the race with SAG and BAFTA nods, and Monica Barbara also entered the race. Truthfully, outside of Grande and Saldaña I wouldn’t be surprised to see any other combo of ladies. Jones could be vulnerable.

I’m expecting to be wrong on a few things lol, but I’d love to be right on a few of the wildcards! I don’t take predictions too seriously. Over the years, I’ve realize I tend to do a lot of “hope”-dicting, lol.

Happy Oscars nomination day, everyone! 😙

[Chase]

I'm getting Best Actress 2012 vibes from this particular line-up with Erivo and Gascon occupying the Mirren and Cotillard slots of their respective years only to be replaced by Torres and Jean-Baptiste. Granted, neither Hitchcock or Rust and Bone were the juggurnauts that Wicked and Emilia Perez are but it matters that Erivo or Gascon have not won anything. I also have a hunch that people don't really seem to like Cynthia Erivo.

My predictions are:
Demi Moore for The Substance.
The Globe win has cattapulted her to frontrunner status, which is remarkable as a nomintion for her seemed shaky at best less than a month ago. She's great in a gonzo part and film and I can't wait for the wildest Best Actress nomination since Ann-Margret in Tommy, despite diametric levels of quality.

Mickey Madison for Anora.
She's a perrenial nominee this season and she's won by far the most critics prizes. In a less compretitive year I could see her winning. But not this one.

Marianne Jean-Baptiste for Hard Truths.
She's the Emmanuelle Riva, Charlotte Rampling, Marion Cotillard of 2014, and Isabelle Huppert slot of their respective years, though only Huppert had a major precurssor win with the Globe. A veteran critical darling winning all the major CC awards. She's in.

Fernanda Torres for I'm Still Here.
A major critical success with timely themes in a politically volatile time (to say the least) which scored her a welcome surprise Golden Globe. Aformentioned reasons apply here about past winners.

My fifth slot remains wide open. My gut insitnct tells me not to discount Nicole Kidman, who may not be hitting a career peak exactly, but it is the first project she's done in a while that distills the best of both her worlds (auter driven stories and commercial success). Plus I mentioned before that she's having a tremendously difficult year with the passing of her mother, heartbreakingly shown while accepting an award at PSIFF. I know it sounds a bit naive but I've noticed that AMPAS tend to stick up for her during difficult periods in her life. Just a hunch. Also, she's a much much bigger star than Angelina Jolie, in terms of industry respect though Jolie does have a Jean Hersholt award so maybe I'm wrong. I'm worried Jolie is going to pop up undeservedly like Bening did last year. That leaves Pamela Anderson next though I think she peaked to late. Plus, the work-shoppy vibe of The Last Showgirl underscores the limitations of Anderson rather than enhance a real-world feel of Shelly and her story. The only predicted nominee I can see making this is Karla Sofia Gascon but Emilia Perez is honest to God one of the worst films of the year and I am baffled at the plaudits that have come its way. As historical as a nomination would be, I'm inclined to beleive she might get snubbed. Though I already feel crazy for typing this.

Final prediction? Nicole Kidman for Babygirl,

Such an exciting year.

[NATHANIEL R]

I SINCERELY hope Emilia Perez doesn't land more nominations than Crouching Tiger and Roma... what a disappointment if it does since those two are just amazing films and it's nice that they hold that distinctive record. Alas, for whatever reason Hollywood sseems to be very impressed with EP.

[Lenard W]

@MB and everyone else who doesn't follow the voting. The nominations are preferential balloting. Only the highest ranked nominee on the ballot is counted for your branch's category and Best Picture. So, even if Denzel Washington are on 900 of the actors' ballots, only his #1 votes will be counted to move on to the next round. This is why some frontrunners get "snub"bed, their votes are on the lower half.

[ashley]

If Adrien Brody wins Best Actor I will be so disappointed. The use of AI to inhance his accent feels like cheating. The accent is important to the character so if you need it to be perfect hire a different actor.

[Frank Zappa]

@ Ashley

Yeah, I was very impressed by how convincingly “European” the actors playing Hungarians were. It wasn’t just the accents, but that was a big part of it.