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Entries in Oscar Punditry (25)

Monday
Nov252024

Which International Feature Films will get into Best Picture?

by Juan Carlos Ojano

96 years of Oscars, 14 international feaure films nominated for Best Picture.

While some awards bodies have already commenced the season, Best Picture is still very much an open race. One of the statistics many predictors consider is the presence of international feature films in the category. Since 2018’s Roma - and save 2020, where Another Round even got into Director - every Best Picture lineup has included one. Last year, history was made, when two international features making it in, with Anatomy of a Fall and The Zone of Interest.

Perhaps this is one of the effects of the inclusivity efforts the Academy has initiated post-#OscarsSoWhite, where they included more world artists into their membership. This year, which international feature films will stand a chance of getting into this year’s Best Picture roster? Consider...

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Saturday
Jan272024

Who came in sixth at the 96th Academy Awards?

by Cláudio Alves

The last minute campaign for ORIGIN didn't work. But did the film come close to a nomination?

Every year, the aftermath of the Oscar nominations announcement is full of talk about "snubs," much outrage, speculation on who was closest to the lineup and which of the nominees took that last spot. This season, the reactions reached rare levels, igniting pure chaos all over social media and even prestige publications. Four days after it began, it seems like the animus is starting to quiet down – or maybe that's just wishful thinking. Alas, as reason's regained, here's hoping the conversation can be had with a bit more level-headedness and a little less fire. Hold that thought, for I've prepared a collection of polls about every one of the year's Oscar races so that The Film Experience readers can decide for themselves.

From Director to Live-Action Short, let's vote on who was the likelier sixth-placer, so close to the nomination but still left looking from the outside in. And, of course, in Best Picture, one must figure out what movie placed eleventh…

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Tuesday
Jan232024

Team Experience Oscar Prediction Scores

By: Christopher James

Happy Oscar Morning! The Academy handed out their nominations, giving plenty to Oppenheimer (13 nominations), Poor Things (11 nominations), Killers of the Flower Moon (10 nominations) and many others. If you stuck with the same Best Picture nominees throughout the ballot, you likely did pretty all right. After sifting through all of the Oscar nominations, one turns their attention to their predictions. How many did I get right?

The Film Experience team published a chart of their predictions yesterday. Overall, the team did a strong job predicting the Oscar nominees, getting an average of 70% correct. So who wins the ultimate bragging rights? Also, what were the biggest surprises and snubs of the morning, based on The Film Experience team’s predictions?

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Monday
Jan222024

Team Experience - Final Oscar Prediction

by Christopher James

Who will win big at the Oscars?Tomorrow morning the Oscar nominations will be revealed at 5:30 a.m. PST / 8:30 a.m. EST / 1:30 p.m. GMT / 9:30 p.m. CST. With just one day left, it’s time for the members of the Film Experience team to make their final predictions, as Nathaniel did the other day.

It’s going to be a tight race for most nominations between our frontrunners - Oppenheimer, Killers of the Flower Moon, Barbie and Poor Things. All have the possibility to get over 10 nominations each. Will the Oscars default for its Best Picture nominees across the board, or will we get some interesting shockers up and down the ballot?

Take a look after the jump for each of the team’s predictions. Please click on any of the prediction images to get a larger look at what each writer predicted...

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Friday
Jan122024

Who Will Be The Snub or Surprise at Oscars?

By: Christopher James

Can the entire trio of Killers of the Flower Moon get nominated after Leo's SAG snub?

Now that the SAG Awards have announced their nomination, we have a very clear picture of where the Oscar acting races are heading into Oscar voting. Every year features its snubs and surprises. The one thing you can rely on the Oscars for are some curveballs. However, there are ways we can systematically predict the lineup using the numbers of the past to inform the future.

Let’s apply some statistics to figure out the most likely nominees...

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