Which of the First-Time Nominees Will Return Soon to Oscar?
Wednesday, March 5, 2014 at 11:01AM Some years ago now I did a study on how often actors win second nominations. I can't find the figures at the moment but I believe it was around 42%. Obviously it's not as many as we pretend each Oscar love-in season. Though it's arguably easier to win a second nomination than it is a first -- they're already considering you if you will -- that doesn't mean it's easy, if you get me. The Oscars are definitely a pyramid in shape. There's only one actor with 18 nominations and there are hundreds of thousands with 0. I don't mean to be a bummer, just to underline how special and rare the Oscar experience is even for celebrity actors. Lineups like Best Actress this time, which I believe has the highest average nomination count of all time in an acting shortlist, fool us into believing otherwise but the majority of first nominations are also last nominations.
the first-timers this year that DIDN'T win: Chiwetel, Sally, Barkhad, Fassy, June*should we do a fashion post?
But let's stay optimistic!
Who among this year's first-time nominees do you think will be the first to be invited back? Explain your choice in the comments. I think I'm going with Sally Hawkins only because her work has been really solid for a long time and now that they've noticed her, perhaps a rush of even better roles will happen? It's not always easy to predict. I mean, who among us thought that Jonah Hill would be the first among the new men from the class of 2011 to do it? There's no wrong answer. At least not for another year or three.
If you like this poll, there are more, you know. Vote on those, too!
Reader Comments (52)
SVG & Troy -- i love both of your fantasy films. They need to happen!
Ariel -- do you mean the best year in terms of the most of them came back?
Baxter & Ariel -- love minutae like this so yay
I'd have to go with the crowd on Fassbender, even though yes, he doesn't seem to care about awards or especially baity projects. The thing is he's been GREAT just about every year since he broke out, and now that oscar has caught on and he's part of the club, I feel like they'll have to keep coming back to him. And he's got the perfect storm of leading man looks + insanely talented + old enough for them to take seriously but still young enough to smolder + obsessive fans + hasn't won yet. McC may have to wait a bit since he just won.
Then again, Ryan Gosling still doesn't have a second nomination, right? So hmmm…
MMcC, Hawkins, and Ejiofor are also very possible.