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« Review: Father Stu is a Watchable Mess | Main | Hou Hsiao-Hsien @75: New Millennium (2001-2022) »
Tuesday
Apr122022

April Foolish Oscar Predix Pt 3 - Visual Categories

by Nathaniel R

Will ELVIS get the usual Catherine Martin nominations for a Bazmark production?

The April Foolish predictions continue with the visual categories which means the rest of the week is the highest profile of categories: Actors, Directors, and Pictures. Obviously this is too early for confidence -- especially in below the line categories since many films haven't released a single image yet. Much will change including which films get released but we'd hold up our year in advance prediction records against anyones.  At this point the only thing anyone has to go on is a) previous work from the craftsmen involved, b) whether the film might have a "Most" boost (contemporary set pictures generally struggle in the visual categories even when they're brilliant), c) hunches aka crystal ball projections as to how the film involved might fare overall. Regarding the latter, it's commonly understood that Best Picture heat will help you in every category even though each should be judged on its own merits.

Check out the charts, won'cha? Two items of discussion we wanted to underline follow after the jump...

• COSTUME DESIGN. At this juncture we're most curious about what Yorgos Lanthimos next feature, Poor Things will look like. It's a Victorian romance with elements of sci-fi and the costume designer is Holly Waddington. This is only her fourth feature film as a lead designer but she did amazing work on Lady Macbeth (2016). We've opted to predict it in costumes sight unseen because...why not? It's early. Anything might happen.

• CINEMATOGRAPHY Superstar DPs Roger Deakins and Emanuel Lubezski sat last year out but they're both back this year with Empire of Light and Canterbury Glass respectively. But what we're most curious about in this category is, oddly enough, a Ron Howard movie. We're not really excited about Thirteen Lives which tells the same story about the Thailand cave rescues that the documentary The Rescue just told. But we are thrilled that Sayombhu Mukdeeprom is getting a potentially high profile mainstream film to boost his career. Hopefully it'll look great. Still apart from him being Thai he's a surprising choice for super mainstream Ron Howard since Mukdeeprom usually works with art-film auteures like Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name, Suspiria), Miguel Gomes (Arabian Nights trilogy) and Apichatpong Weerathasekul (Memoria, Uncle Boonmee who can recall his past lives

Previously:
Pt 1 Animated Feature
Pt 2 Screenplays and Music Categories

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Reader Comments (2)

Catherine Martin & Mary Zophres are definitely the unseen frontrunners of costume design. Do we only have images from Elvis only from the top tier?

Colleen Atwood is 12/4 though. Wished she did more exciting stuff, seems the 2016 overload was her last Academy moment.

Mark Bridges is a current fav of the Academy but I can't see that one competitive in the category, Licorice Pizza fate most likely.

April 13, 2022 | Registered CommenterElazul Atwater

I still sorta feel like Avatar II's a myth

April 13, 2022 | Registered CommenterArkaan
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