Oscar Decree "Thou Shalt Not Perform Cunnilingus."

Oscar Trivia!
If you want to be nominated for an Oscar there is one thing you must never do onscreen. You must not go down on a woman. Mila Kunis (Black Swan), Ryan Gosling (Blue Valentine) and Julianne Moore (The Kids Are All Right) all learned this the hard way this Oscar nom' morning. For their sins of servicing the Natalies, Michelles & Annettes of this world, they are banish-ed.

[I was about to insert a blurry screencap here but thought better of it!]

Know the sexual rules, Oscar hopefuls!

Jules: And then my tongue started working again.
[Laughter]
Nic: We've been glued at the hip ever since.

Paul: No doubt.

Oh sure this was totally okay in the seventies for Jon Voight but he was playing a paraplegic and Jane Fonda is Jane Fonda. Who wouldn't?

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How I Did Prediction-Wise. How 'Bout You?

I'm not much for stats but for what it's worth, here's how I did on my Oscar predictions.

74% (89/120) if you include all categories, including those very few others predict like the short features.
77% (81/105) if you drop the three shorts categories which very few people bother with, thus upping their predictive ratio ;). If you'd like to know how I stack up with other pundits, I'm hearing Kris Tapley edged me out with 84/105 but am I in second place this year? Does anyone know? 81 is a good score. Yay me!
88% (40/45) in "the big eight" director, picture, acting and screenplays

Best Categories: I went 100% in Animated Feature, both Actress categories and Lead Actor -- if I'd only seen Hawkes over Garfield, I would have had an historic 100% in all acting categories --  correctly assuming those Big Hollywood Players raving about Javier Bardem (Ben Affleck & Julia Roberts among them) would do the trick for him. Another category I'm really proud of is Animated Short, which is often difficult to guess and I went 4/5 after viewing clips from all the finalists.

Worst Categories: I totally biffed Makeup (1/3) which is, in my defense, year after year the most baffling category (though I think The Way Back is very deserving and I also nominated it in my own awards). But I'm much much more surprised to have done so poorly on the Sound Categories (3/5 in each). In my defense there this is a very unusual year: for once the Sound Mixing and Sound Editing nominations are not virtual mirror images of each other. In fact, I can't recall a year ever with less overlap. Only two films Inception and True Grit show up in both categories. Usually these categories are 4/5 overlaps. Frustrated that I didn't predict the Angelina actioner Salt since I nominated in my own awards and it was my "alternate" that I nearly went with but in the end I chickend out and just used the Sound guilds nominees, which turned out to be not at all what Oscar's sound branch was thinking ;)

Just Curious: Did anyone predict I AM LOVE for costumes? I'm so thrilled that happened for Antonella Cannarozzi.

Very deserving if I do say so myself.

What are you most proud of from your predictions? Where did you fail most spectacularly?

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They're Here. The 83rd Oscar Nominations

The Day has arrived, capitals and bold intended.

I'm updated the OSCAR NOMINATION INDEX  so you can look at everything as a complete chart and also see how I did prediction wise. Or you can open up this post to check out the entire list of nominees.

The most interesting responses in terms of nomination levels have to be Black Swan and Inception, neither of which hit Oscar's sweet spot in quite the nomination tally levels people generally expected. Inception missed in director which MUST give Nolan some kind of snub record since he's now been nominated by the DGA three times. Black Swan missed in art direction and sound and costumes all of which, one thinks, should have maybe been givens.

When in doubt remember -- I also forgot -- that Oscar resists genre films when they have traditional drama to nominate instead (The King's Speech)

Complete list of nominees after the jump or you can just see the big chart.

Click to read more ...

Top of the Oscar Morn' To Ya

7:43 AM Today's the day we find out what those 6,000 showbiz people were thinking as they filled out there ballots. Or even if they were thinking. I suddenly want to chuck out all my predictions and start over again. Oh jitters.

7:47 AM  I'm so nervous. 45 minutes whoooot

MO'NIQUE BABY

Mo'Nique laughs at a flubbed line

7:58 Who is awake? show of hands!

8:18 Okay, now I am showered, coffeed, fully dressed, if not quite mentally prepared for What Lies Ahead. The great unknown. Or maybe the known if they just follow the precursors this year. I'm suddenly feeling Sam Rockwell (?) and wishing i hadn't predicted a Kunis snub.

8:28 I don't think i've ever watched The Early Show but they only had it in them (the anchors) for crossing their fingers for The Social Network and The King's Speech. What imaginative calls! Clearly the female anchor doesn't go to the movies she made a convenient "i'm still watching. i can't say" comment which means I officially shun her. That'll show her.

will Gosling & Williams both make it?

8:33 Ugh. I hate Ben Lyons so much. Switched to E! and he's talking about the Academy "FINALLY getting younger." Maybe he doesn't know that the age statistics remain about the same all the time with the acting nominations. They like the women young, the men middle aged. That's always the way it's been and they way it'll stay. As we've discussed many a time. The only way this year is "younger" is the hosts and IF eisenberg, franco and gosling are all nominated in lead actor. That would definitely be a young Best Actor lineup even with Firth & Bridges involved.

8:34 "some movies you feel" they will not stop with these King's Speech commercials.

adams, bonhamcarter, leo, steinfeld, weaver -SUPPORTING

bale, hawkes, renner, ruffalo, rush SUPPORTING ACTOR

bening, kidman, lawrence, portman, williams ACTRESS

bardem, bridges, eisenberg, firth, franco ACTOR

aronofsky, russell, fincher, coen bros, hooper DIRECTOR (wow. 3rd DGA nom 3rd Oscar snub for Chris Nolan)

another year, fighter, inception, kids are all right, kings speech SCREENPLAY

127 hours, social network, toy story 3, true grit, winter's bone ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

biutiful, dogtooth, in a better world, incendies, outside the law FOREIGN

how to train, illusionist, toy story 3 ANIMATED

black swan, the fighter, inception, the kid are all right, the kings speech, 127 hours, the social network, toy story 3, true grit, winter's bone PICTURE

COMPLETE NOMINATION LIST

20:10 "You're allowed to make a statement."

Three years ago at the original blog, I created a series called 20:07 which became one of the most popular TFE features ever and spawned a slew of imitators 'round the web. Just for fun, let's resurrect that ol' pet for the remainder of Oscar season as we finish celebrating the films of 2010 before the new film year begins.

Screen capture: 20th minute and 10th second* -- or thereabouts. I worry about my dvd player's clock --  of The Social Network

Mark Zuckerberg: I've -- you know, I've already apologized in The Crimson to the ABHW to Fuerza Latina and to any women at Harvard who may have insulted as I take it they were. As for any charges stemming from the breach of security I believe I deserve some recognition from this board.

Administrator: I'm sorry.

Zuckerberg: Yes.

Administrator: I don't understand

Zuckerberg: Which part?

Be here tomorrow morning for the announcement of the Oscar nominations and commentary all day. Here's my complete prediction list and my ALMOST complete dream ballot (aka the annual film bitch awards. Everything is done sans writeups for reasons previously explained and the actress categories). ALMOST because it was a super tough day and I'm sick on top of that. Argh. My timing is terrible. But tomorrow is another day!

Are you all jittery waiting for tomorrow morning to get here? Will you get any sleep? It's totally Christmas morning to yours truly.