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Lebanon's Capernam might be our earliest and most solid bet for submission/nomination
Just an FYI that the charts are now under construction for the Foreign Film Oscar submissions. We won't have the avalanche of "official" submission news until September but we can definitely begin to speculate over the summer, post-Cannes as to which films each country will submit.
Predictions - Stats / Blindfolded Early Predictions Chart One - Afghanistan to Ethiopia Chart Two - Finland to Mozambique Chart Three - The Netherlands to Vietnam
Though it's tempting to assume that hits from Berlinale, Cannes, Venice, and Toronto will automatically be their country's submission, that isn't always the case...
Here we are. The Oscars are over. After six months (this was a long season!) of never ending think pieces, desperate For Your Consideration ads, and prediction anxiety, we can finally take a breather.
So, before we’re ready to start doing it all over again (because, let’s be honest, despite everything, we love this), let’s decompress a little. And if you’re like me, there’s nothing better than a good list of stats and numbers to clear your mind.
As a pallet cleanser, and as a farewell to Oscar season for now, here’s are some statistics and data about the screenplay categories. Where we were before Sunday, where we are now. And how far we have yet to go.
Manville, Janney, Blige, Metcalf, and Spencer (click to embiggen)
Just last week we held a Smackdown honoring these five women and a follow up conversation on the podcast, too. Laurie Metcalf emerged as the Smackdown winner with Lesley Manville as a close runner-up. The readers poll emerged with the same winner but a different runner-up. Like so...
TRIVIA AND COMMENT-PARTY QUESTIONS AFTER THE JUMP...
How'd you do on your Oscar predictions. Your host got 18/24 correct which isn't terrible but isn't great. The Shape of Water emerged as the big winner of the night with 4 Oscars including Picture and Director (no split this year) with Dunkirk on its tail with 3 Oscars. Seven of the nine Best Picture nominees won at least one Oscar with only Lady Bird and The Post suffering the "zip!" fate. We'll have time to discuss the ceremony over the next two days but for now the winners list and trivia made tonight after the jump...
A shorter version of this article was originally shared on Towleroad
With the 90th Academy Awards coming tomorrow another tradition must precede it:predicting the Oscar winners! If you're a frequent reader of The Film Experience, you've probably been following this race for an entire year and now it's about to end. Those who only follow in the last month have a lot of catching up to do (I have a friend here in NYC doing that Best Picture marathon -- all nine movies). If you'd like to keep up more emphatically next year please sign up for our mailing list as we will begin weekly newsletters shortly after the Oscars with exclusive content.
But this season's race ends Sunday night. Hopefully without a snafu on the epic scale of last year’s Envelope Gate when La La Land was read out as Best Picture when Moonlight had actually won. Can you believe that Warren Beatty and Faye Dunaway are returning for a do over? (Or do you think that news is smoke and mirrors to hide another surprise in store?)
I am sad to share that there’s a possibility that all of the best “Best Pictures” (Get Out, Lady Bird, and Call Me By Your Name) go home empty-handed but what else is new? Not to be pessimistic but Oscar night is often a come down from the multiple-winners joy of nomination morning. Or to quote the great Stephen McKinley Henderson in Lady Bird...
The high probability of wins you don't like is why you should always attend or throw a fun Oscar party and try not to take it too seriously. Enjoy the gowns and the speeches and celebrate every film and celebrity you love as they're paraded before you on Hollywood's High Holy Night.
Let’s call each individual Oscar race after the jump. Links will take you to the Oscar chart in question...
Tuesday, May 22, 2018 at 10:01AM 
Lebanon's Capernam might be our earliest and most solid bet for submission/nomination
