Naked Gold Man: Oscar Wears No Watch, But It's All in the Timing
With more and more of the heretofore unseen contenders (Tintin, J Edgar, Young Adult, War Horse, etcetera) beginning to show their goods to tastemakers and balloting voters of various orgs & circles & associations... where to now? Or when to?
Time is a funny thing with Oscar watching. Though the race progresses chronologically in familiar ways each year through its many stages, it's simultaneously a non-linear experience. We're always hopping around in the timeline from the future (What Will Happen on Oscar Nomination Morning? On Oscar Night?) to the past (Statistics, Past Grudges, Happy Memories, The Perennial Subject of "Overdue" and "Momentum" and Over Analysis of Things That Just Happened). Back and forth, back and forth, back and forth. The time we're very rarely in is the present. If we're in the present at all (wrist check: it's 2:19 PM on 11|06|11 as I begin writing this) it's to take immediate stock of our surroundings and then suddenly we're gone again. We've either instantly reduced the present to how we predict it will affect the future... or we've turned it into validation of our past biases or predictions.
A hypothetical example now. J Edgar reactions* range from reverential but not unqualified raves to respectful with a heavy cloud of "meh" to plain old "wow, it's just not any good!" thumbs down. Which means...
J. EDGAR is... [check whichever box applies in your hypothetical future tenses]
⎕ Still in key races. It's a biopic by Eastwood.
⌧ Out of the race but for Best Actor because it's that kind of role and he's that kind of star.
⎕ Going to bomb with Oscar and the public.
* no, I don't know why some critics have to obey embargoes and some don't.
That's all hypothetical, understood?!?
ACTOR, ACTRESS, and PICTURE past | present | future after the jump.